It is a prediction. It is like you have a conflict with someone. You estimate that you can beat him, but when you really fight, you find that you are not your opponent. Do you continue to hold on or run? The reason why I predict a 50 basis point drop is that this may mean a recession in the US economy, which needs Powell's appeasement. After the speech, the market will start to recover and rise. Those who really understand know that I am a die-hard bull.

Compared with predictions, I pay more attention to the correctness of operations. Trading itself is a dynamic game. If you don't adapt to the actual market situation, you will be eliminated by the market sooner or later, because the market is always right.

Soros said: "It is not important to judge right or wrong. What is important is how much profit you get when you are right and how much loss you lose when you are wrong." A good trader will not stick to his own predictions, but take the market as his teacher!