As for whether the Fed will cut interest rates tonight, there is no need to guess. Just look for the sword in the boat. 👈
👉Don’t everyone like to look for the sword in the boat? Today I will share with you a chart showing the relationship between the Fed’s interest rate cut schedule in 2019 and the trend of the S&P 500 index and the US stock S&P. Whether the interest rate is cut or not is marked on it.
👉Interpretation: If there is no interest rate cut, the market may fall slightly first, and then rise. After more than a month of window period, the bull market will start to fluctuate upward.
👉The first interest rate cut basically saw the bull market top, and the support level was bought at the bottom when it fell.
👉The second interest rate cut also saw a small top in the rebound. The same decline was used to buy at the bottom.
👉The third interest rate cut restored the huge US dollar liquidity in the market, successfully started the bull market, and it rose all the way for about half a year.
💥Summary: If we force ourselves to stick to the old ways, if there is no rate cut on September 19, there may be a small drop first, and then the rise in the October window period will start, which will just hype up the November election and the expectation of rate cuts. Therefore, if there is no rate cut on September 19, it will be good for the market in October.
💥💥If the rate cut is 25BP for the first time on September 19, then the market may see a small top and then fall back, then it will be enough to buy the bottom when it falls, and boldly buy the bottom near $BTC 50,000. The same applies to the second rate cut
🚀🚀🚀Here comes the point, the third rate cut is the time to really start the bull market, because the US dollar will flow back to the market in large quantities, and it is necessary to find a reservoir. The US stock market and the currency circle are this reservoir, so when waiting for the second or third rate cut, it is the time to usher in the main bull market. Friends who have been waiting can boldly enter the market on the right side at that time.
👉In terms of macroeconomics, there will definitely be a bull market next year, because the macroeconomic cycle is already moving towards a cycle of loose policies. Whether it is a rate cut or a quantitative easing policy, a large amount of US dollars will flow into the market. The most difficult period of interest rate hikes ended last year. It is inevitable that the risk market will continue to be bullish, so we bulls will eventually win. 😇😇
🌞🤑👉Follow us, Jinyu will go through the bull and bear markets with you.
