September 17th - Happy Mid-Autumn Festival

     

  It's Mid-Autumn Festival, family reunion, and the typhoon brought a super bright full moon. It's good. I'll just say a few words today. After all, there will be the September interest rate decision and Powell's speech at 2 a.m. on the 19th. From a macro perspective, a 25 basis point rate cut is good news, and a 50 basis point rate cut is easily suspected to be a defensive rate cut, that is, the worry of triggering an economic recession. If there is no rate cut, it will be beyond the market's expectations. It will be revealed tomorrow night.        

Etai, structurally speaking, breaking 2150 or 2111 is a more reasonable trend. If the night market cannot effectively break through 2360, we should be alert to whether the hour-level departure segment will be launched tonight and tomorrow morning.      

 AAVE, today's daily bottoming out and rebound may drive a direct upward trend. Those who hold at a low level can consider continuing to hold it.        

ORDI, breaking through 33.72 is a turn for the better, breaking the rule of high point moving down. BING, at a small level, if it does not break through 60395, breaking through 57493 is a more reasonable trend. It is slightly strong during the day, but it often starts its decline in the second half of the night. In fact, from the perspective of risk control, if it actively falls back or even breaks through tonight or tomorrow, it will reduce the risk when the resolution is announced in the early morning of the 19th. At a high level, it is a reasonable trend to spend a week to step back to 54300. It is still expected to converge in a triangle. Once it stabilizes or effectively breaks through 60700, it will be easy to have a firm and continuous upward trend.