The big cake fell in the morning yesterday, falling back to the low position of 55,500, and then formed an inverted V shape at night, rising to the 58,000 mark. At present, it is fluctuating around 57,400.

For the morning big cake: rebound around 57,600-57,800, and look at around 56,800-56,300

For the morning aunt: rebound around 2,360-2,380, and look at around 2,310-2,280

CITIC Securities: Maintain the forecast that the Fed will cut interest rates three times this year, each time by 25bps

The US CPI in August was basically in line with expectations. Overall, it continued the "mediocre" tone of the previous report, but the core CPI reading was flawed by rental inflation. We expect US inflation to be roughly stable year-on-year this year, and we still believe that the cooling trend of rental inflation has not reversed. We maintain the forecast that the Fed will cut interest rates three times this year, each time by 25bps. The election debate has reduced market concerns about the risk of "re-inflation" in the United States next year. In the recent period of easing inflation, the market has been more sensitive to growth data. You can pay attention to the allocation opportunities of short-term US bonds and defensive US stocks.

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