In the afternoon, the short-term 56200 is retreated, and the short-term 500 is taken out of the warehouse! Follow up on the cpi operation, and the probability is that it will fall first and then rise! If it retreats, you can arrange a short-term to see 59500! #小非农增幅创3年多新低 $ETH $BNB $BTC #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？

Tonight's CPI, let's talk about the market outlook and share my views~

The key point is the rate cut! The CPI in August is better than the market's expected 2.6%, such as 2.5%/2.3%. What does this mean? It means that inflation has dropped significantly, and the Fed's interest rate hike is correct. It does not rule out a 50 basis point rate cut, at least the market will think so. It will directly push up Bitcoin's breakthrough.

Secondly, if the announced value is between 2.6% and 2.9%, it is not as low as expected, which will be bearish for Bitcoin, but it is lower than last month's 2.9%, so there will be a negative impact without a fall, and it will go out of the style of falling first and then rising. (This is like non-agricultural data: smaller than expected, stronger than last month, first up and then down)

Based on this round of data, I think it is biased between 32.6% and 2.9%. The impact of August CPI on the market should not be as great as before. If the interest rate cut is a done deal, it will only affect short-term sentiment and expectations. If it is in the range of 2.6% to 2.9%, then Bitcoin should fall first and then rise, with the data being bearish but not falling. In other words, no matter how it is released, the possibility of a big drop is low.

Now, returning to the high point area of ​​non-agricultural data, it is close to the previous high point. If you want to go long now, you must wait for a drop before the US market to form an illusion of effective pressure. Otherwise, breaking the previous high point will indicate that the expected fall may occur after the data.

Combining the rhythm and amplitude of the day, the operation of CPI tonight is likely to fall first and then rise. If it falls back before the US market, you can consider entering the market in batches. As long as it does not fall below 55,000, it is above it, then it is long, looking at the 59,500 area.

The last round of non-agricultural data gave everyone 3000 yuan unilaterally, with a hint of rising first and then falling. Tonight, I will continue to provide guidance on the front line and give instructions at the current price. I can't tell the long and short positions, the trend signals, the news, and the Ultraman ideas! Come, let's fly in the sky of the currency circle together! #美国经济软着陆？ #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知 #BNBChainMemeCoin #美国经济软着陆？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ $BTC $ETH $SOL