In reality, financial institutions are using probabilistic thinking to make predictions, formulate trading strategies, and really beat retail investors.
But in fact, it is not the trading strategy that works, but the trading discipline.
The so-called strategy is to operate according to the established plan, not to do whatever you want, and the essence is to use discipline to constrain behavior. Retail investors have no discipline, are smart, and are led by desire.
Divination is unreliable, but it can also give people a "positive" impact, the principle is the same. Today is suitable for moving, tomorrow is not suitable for breaking ground, both are using discipline to constrain behavior and constrain human animality.
Maybe you will miss a good opportunity because of the constraints of discipline, but you will also avoid many risks.
The road of life is long, and losing less is winning.
