American historian Allan Lichtman, who has almost accurately predicted the results of every US presidential election since 1984, predicts that Democratic presidential candidate and Vice President Harris will win the November presidential election.

Allan Lichtman, a professor at the American University, confidently said in an interview with AFP: "Harris will win."

He had just released his presidential election predictions every four years at his home in Bethesda, Montgomery County, Maryland before the interview.

For 40 years, Lichtman has successfully predicted who will enter the White House almost every time, and rarely fails.

Lichtman pays no attention to polls. His predictions are based on a series of positive and negative propositions that apply to the current government. Six or more of the key keys are: party mandate, intra-party competition, incumbent president, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy changes, social unrest, scandals, diplomatic/military failures, diplomatic/military successes, incumbent charisma, and challenger charisma. #美国总统选举