interest rate cut trap, interest rate cut trap, interest rate cut trap
The market had a script for rate cuts long before:
Scenario 1: The Federal Reserve decides to cut interest rates, and Bitcoin keeps rising until the rate cut is implemented on September 19, then it rises sharply and ends, and then starts to fall after the rate cut
(This is not the script we are following at the moment)
Scenario 2: The market kept falling before the interest rate cut, and ended its decline when the interest rate cut was implemented on September 19. It then began to rebound after the interest rate cut, creating a new market trend.
At present, it is moving like this scenario, and in the 10 days from August 25 to September 6, Bitcoin was 65,000-52,500=12,500, which is already a sharp drop due to the interest rate cut. Now the trend is more and more like scenario 2, so the unemployment rate will also fall. Why? Because it will continue to fall before the interest rate cut, and it will fall to September 19, when the interest rate cut is implemented. And we have fallen more than half now, and there are still 10 days from September 9 to September 19 to fall. After the fall on September 19, the interest rate cut day, the end of the month rebounded sharply, and October surged.
This is the script 2
Everyone thinks that the interest rate cut will lead to a rise in the stock market, but that goes against human nature. The stock market had been falling before the interest rate cut, and it fell very quickly, making many people despair. However, there are still 10 days from September 9 to September 19 that need to be endured.
The same thing happened in 2023. In June, BlackRock ETF applied for a huge surge in the cryptocurrency market, from 25,000 to 31,800 in just 48 hours.
BlackRock ETF had unprecedented positive news, and Bitcoin did not fall at all in those two months, until August when everyone was betting on BlackRock, the bull market and long orders. It took only 48 hours for Bitcoin to fall from 30,200 on August 15 to 24,500 in the early morning of August 18. It was particularly tragic that a lot of 5x contract longs were wiped out in a wave of 24,500 and 25,000. Bitcoin still tested the bottom twice at 25,300 and the third time at 24,900, and the bottom was shuffled to death, because too many people were optimistic about BlackRock ETF, and these people were taken away in a wave and then tested the bottom three times.
We staged a similar script in September of this year, which was similar to the big positive rate cut. You all know that the rate cut is good news, so the rate cut trap has been smashing the market. After Powell's rate cut speech on August 24, Bitcoin rose sharply to 65,000, and the rate cut trap speculation began to smash the market. First, it was 65,000-578,000 from August 25 to August 30, smashing the first wave.
Then rebound 57800-61100 and then pull up maliciously and burst short
In the first week of September, the price went from 60,000 to 55,600 to 58,400 to 52,500.
How cruel! There were countless times of luring more people in the middle, and then the door was smashed down.
But the price of the currency is hitting new lows every day. It is obvious that the market has fallen into the trap of interest rate cuts. Today is already 908, and there are still 10 days left.
The interest rate cut trap should end when Bitcoin adjusts to 2 a.m. on September 19. By then, the market should rebound at the end of September.
I have said so much just to hope that you understand what tricks the market is playing.
Don't impose your ideas on the market.
What the market chooses, you have to follow the market
It is obvious that we were in a state of decline and high risk before 919
Then you just need to wait patiently for the interest rate cut on September 19 and buy at the bottom at the end of September.
I have seen that some bloggers in the cryptocurrency circle have also mentioned the idea of the interest rate cut trap. Unfortunately, the cryptocurrency circle is now lacking in talent. There are too few people who can truly output cryptocurrency knowledge and the core of the cryptocurrency market. If you don’t learn something useful, and just look at this order making money and that order losing money every day, is it useful? No matter how good the weapon is, is it useful if you don’t know the mind method? Trading is divided into ways and techniques. If you have nothing to do, learn more about logical thinking. These things can change your life.