Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycles Don't Work Anymore - Analyst
Outlier Ventures head of research Jasper De Mare said investors should abandon the idea of a four-year Bitcoin halving cycle.
And it make sense! Many things happened which we didnt see before, and already talked about
- ATH never happened before halving
- We never dumped lower previous ath
- First in history got a spot BTC and Eth ETF.
According to him, after the last halving, Bitcoin is showing the worst price performance in history. In particular, in the four months following the April halving in 2024, Bitcoin fell by 8%, while in previous periods it showed significant gains.
Crypto markets are more mature and diverse, and mining rewards have become less significant.
Although the halving may have some psychological effect, it is no longer a key factor in pricing, concludes De Marais.
Yes, even if we will pump, and i think we will see new ath, all that stupid models or waves which clowns around draw and re-draw again about 300-500k per btc because (insert million reasons) its absolutely random! And even in 2022 i mentioned i wish to see some new pattern so all this "experts" who randomly bought eth or make a money with pre sales meme scam tokens in 2017-2020 continue use same Bitcoin patterns and will be rekt! Now since march big "gurus" with million followers like Arthur Hayes post esseys which no make sense! Cuz they analyze btc by patterns, trying even copy previous timing! They wanna show you what you wanna see!
And people just wont believe something can go not that way like it was in previous 4 y cycles
