Last night, the Nasdaq plunged 3%, led by Nvidia and Apple. Is the 10-year bull market in the US stock market going to bubble? Last time, it was the Japanese stock market that led to the collapse of Bitcoin, and today it is the US stock market that led to the collapse of Bitcoin!

In the last 24 hours, a total of 75,528 people were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $197 million. The largest single liquidation occurred on Binance - BTCUSDT worth $2.0027 million. Now it feels good, and a lot of leverage has been removed. It seems that there will be another deep wash, but the longer the shock, the easier it will be to take off later!

Today is September 4th! On September 4th, 2017, seven years ago today, China banned ICOs and the market value of the cryptocurrency market evaporated by 80%. Binance, OK, and Huobi, which we are familiar with, also went overseas one after another at this time. Today’s waterfall reminds many people of that bloody day seven years ago!

A fan asked, at what stage this month will the situation change (reverse)?

At present, it is hard to say whether the market will change. It may happen at the end of the month or after September 18 (if the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points). There may be two opportunities to buy the bottom this month, one before the meeting and one after the meeting.

The expectation of a rate cut may be hyped up within a week before the meeting, and then the market will rebound to the day before the meeting, which is Thursday and Friday of this week. If the market drops to a low point, it will retreat, but it may not necessarily reverse, unless the retreat is very strong and directly breaks through 61,600 and hits 64,600 or above again. As long as it is below 61,600, it is bearish.

The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time, which has never happened before. The probability is very low. So basically don't hold out hope. If it happens, it will be fun, because it will plant a bomb for the next interest rate meeting, because this time the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points, if the interest rate is cut to 25 basis points next time, there will be a short-term plunge.

This logic is like the first time you are given 2 candies, your happiness is 100, and you are full of expectations for the next time; if you are only given 1 candy the second time, you will not only be unhappy, but will complain. This is human nature, and the market knows human nature, while those who manipulate the market are against human nature. As long as the trend has not reversed, it is mainly to go short at highs and supplemented by light positions at lows. Let's go and see.

The first big needle of this month is getting closer and closer. The low point target is locked in September, divided into two steps: BTC: 49300-45100; ETH: 2022-1612; SOL: 104-86.

First copy the first half low point of 49300, we can place orders to buy the bottom at 50000, 49300, 48888. After rebounding to a high point (the expected highest is 59850), we can then copy the second half.

It reached the low point in the second half: 45100 (if the standard hits the middle line of the monthly line, it is around 45100; generally, if we consider the needle exceeding, then it will be about 3000 points lower). In the short term, 51000 is the highest point. After a while of fluctuations, it will move out of the upward trend.

65000-45000/43000 is the large band of the 7th wave of decline. Last month was the 5th wave of decline: 70000-49000. Two wide ranges of 20,000 points in two months will definitely lead to large-scale liquidation. We need to be very alert to risk control and be cautious about long positions in the middle of the process.

Only use strength to speak, and use value to reflect! We will help you control the position accurately and grasp the profit. When the market is good, you can make money no matter how you play, but you must know that the market will not always be good! ! ! When to buy and when to sell in the market is important. If you want to get higher returns, the choice is yours, and choice is greater than hard work!

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