🔥🔥🔥 Risk management formula from Associate Professor, PhD. Vo Dinh Tri, fellow traders, please read more in the article.
INDICATOR PLAN
Oct 10, 2023
Risk management formula from Associate Professor, PhD. Vo Dinh Tri is very valuable for traders.
There are two quite important indicators: position size and expected value.1. Position size means the maximum amount of money to place an order. This depends on the highest level of risk tolerance, which is how much % you can lose per trade. For example, if you take 100 million to trade and bear a maximum loss of 2%, the risk is 2 million. Then divide this amount by the stop loss percentage to get the position size. For example, if the stop is 10%, the position size will be 2 million/10% = 20 million. So if you are unlucky, place an order of 20 million, stop loss of 10%, you will lose exactly 2 million, which is the acceptable risk level for that trade. If you stop loss is 20%, then position size will be 2 million/20% = 10 million. Unfortunately, I hit a stop loss of 20% and lost exactly 2 million, exactly as planned.2. Expected value: Expectation = (probability of winning x level of winning) - (probability of losing x level of losing). For example, the probability of winning is 40%, the average winning level is 20%, the average losing level is 10% (with stop loss), position size is 20 million, the expected effect will be: (40% x 4 million) - (60% x 2 million) = 0.4 million (2%) or (40% x 20%) - (60 % x 10%) = 2% Note that this is 2% on position size 20 million, with 2% risk and 10% stop loss of total capital of 100 million. This is an optimistic assumption, what method do you traders often use and If there is a better way, please share in the comments!
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