[Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Pavel Durov will be released in August" has dropped to 26%] On August 26, the Polymarket platform showed that the current probability of predicting that Telegram founder Pavel Durov will be released in August has dropped to 26%. The probability was 50% when this bet was first created last Sunday, but the probability dropped sharply after users learned that the French authorities and judicial procedures would detain him pretrial.