In America, no one really knows what they are doing anymore. I hope the dollar falls against all currencies until the election. If it does, the world will breathe a sigh of relief. Here are the details;
A report presented at the Jackson Hole Annual Meeting by Michael Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam shows that the bond market has become more sensitive to inflation data after the Federal Reserve begins its rate hike cycle in 2022.
This shift suggests that the public does not fully understand the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) monetary policy strategy before the rate hikes. The report emphasizes that, consistent with the perceived change in policy response, event studies show a significant increase in the sensitivity of interest rates to unexpected inflation data after rate hikes.
This increased sensitivity to inflation could help transmit monetary policy to the real economy and improve the Federal Reserve's inflation-unemployment trade-offs.
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