$BTC

Bitcoin’s price has climbed nearly 18.50% in a week, recovering from a six-month low of $49,755. However, technical and on-chain indicators suggest that the cryptocurrency could face further corrections in the coming weeks. Bitcoin’s current correction cycle is paralleled by a decline in the profitability of long-term holders, as measured by the 30-day moving average.

As of August 16, approximately 83% of Bitcoin holders were in the money, compared to 96% in March. High amounts of profit-holding Bitcoin are often considered a sign of price corrections or FOMO that is occurring at the same time. As a result of this on-chain signal, if long-term holders decide to realize their profits, Bitcoin price could see a pullback in the coming days.

Bitcoin’s ongoing consolidation process has created an ascending triangle pattern. Technically, this pattern could indicate a potential trend reversal or weakening downward momentum. However, in some cases, ascending triangles can also act as a continuation pattern in a downtrend. If the price fails to break through the resistance level and breaks below the rising trendline, the downtrend could continue and sellers could take control of the market.

Ascending triangles are often considered bullish reversal patterns in downtrends. A close above the 50-4-hour EMA for Bitcoin could signal a move towards the upper trendline of the triangle. A successful close above the upper trendline could trigger an ascending triangle breakout scenario, setting an upside target of around $70,000.

  • If Bitcoin breaks below the 50-4-hour EMA, selling pressure could increase.

  • If the lower trend line of the triangle is broken, the downtrend may continue.

  • If Bitcoin closes above the 50-4-hour EMA, a rally to $70,000 is possible.


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