In-depth analysis of the currency circle: Bitcoin’s future prospects and current strategies

There are significant market differences as to whether Bitcoin can return to the 80,000 mark, but global financial turmoil has undoubtedly exacerbated uncertainty. This round of plummeting is not simply a liquidation of long positions, but a wave of institutional risk aversion selling under the shadow of the global financial crisis, indicating that the market outlook may continue to be under pressure. Although my personal forecast is pessimistic, I still need to be flexible in responding to market changes.

Looking back on this round of decline, although I placed short orders in advance, I was not able to fully capture the decline due to the unexpected impact of 70,000 Bitcoins, which is a bit regretful. Although external factors such as the Trump incident interfere with judgment, it is more necessary to reflect on trading plans and mentality management.

Currently, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are showing a box-like oscillation pattern. Bitcoin has rebounded after experiencing a deep adjustment. This rebound is more a correction of irrational declines than a direct result of short positions. For short sellers whose average position price is much higher than the current price, the risk of liquidation is low, while those who blindly pursue short positions need to be wary of market backlash.

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In terms of operation, it is recommended to flexibly sell high and buy low within the high and low ranges, while maintaining sensitivity to position breaking signals. Once the trend becomes clear, decisively adjust the strategy, hold for the long term or take profits and losses in a timely manner. In the crypto market, rational analysis and sound operations are the keys to survival. Don’t be fooled by short-term fluctuations.

As for the timing of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and the future direction of cryptocurrency, we still need to pay close attention to global economic dynamics and policy changes and remain flexible.

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