Everyone always says that 2025 will be the year when a crazy bull market will arrive, and that it will be the last chance for retail investors.
So what factors lead to the arrival of the bull market, or why is the bull market in 2025 the last chance for retail investors?
There are roughly several reasons.
1. The next round is highly tied to the US economy.
2. The United States will have a general election in 2024, which is this year. There is a high probability that there will be a large amount of money printing in the 1-2 years after the election.
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If the president is replaced, it is almost certain that there will be a massive money release, and there is a high probability that the domestic economy will follow suit.
3. Domestic policy risks, the biggest destabilizing factor in the cryptocurrency world in the past, have been eliminated.
After the complete withdrawal of mining, the impact on the cryptocurrency circle is very low.
4. It is visibly that highly educated, young people from middle-class and above families are joining the industry. This trend has occurred in many emerging industries.
They will become new legends and attract more people and more funds to enter the market.
5. Once Bitcoin ETF is approved, a large amount of funds can easily enter the market, driving demand.
6. Bitcoin halving. I put this at the end because I think it is not a key factor in the bull market. But it is likely to become a key signal.
This is equivalent to giving institutions, retail investors, and big investors a reason to drive the bull market.
The main points of judging the trend background are as follows
First, the funding side
If the market wants to rise, it must need a huge amount of funds to replenish it. Only when demand exceeds supply will the price rise. The current known capital news is that the Bitcoin ETF applied for by BlackRock and others has passed Hong Kong. The Bitcoin Ethereum ETF was also approved not long ago. This is the core point where a large amount of funds will enter the market one after another. One is the entry of European and American institutions, and the other is the entry of institutions in the Asia-Pacific region.
Second, fundamentals
Bitcoin will be halved on April 20th, which is a major positive and has been finalized
This means that the cost price of Bitcoin will increase. It was around $20,000 before, but after the halving, it will be at least $40,000.
Third, policy
The main consideration is the US interest rate cut. There is news that the interest rate will be cut in September, but it has not been confirmed yet and needs further attention.
Overall, the cryptocurrency industry has an advantage, which is the most objective analysis at the moment.
After talking about the macro level, let's talk about the micro level.
The bull market in the cryptocurrency world is coming, and more people with economic freedom will definitely emerge. This bull market will definitely be a very crazy one.
The influx of large amounts of funds and retail investors will make this industry known to more ordinary people, and Bitcoin will gradually become a popular thing and the number of people using it will increase exponentially.
When an industry gradually becomes popular, the opportunity to make money is gone. Isn't this the case with A-shares, Taobao e-commerce, and real estate speculation? When people are crowded everywhere, the profits are gone.
If you are alone, looking around and finding no one around, it is actually very difficult to persist in this industry.
