Odaily Planet Daily News: Adam Button, an analyst at the financial website Forexlive, said that since 1955, the inverted yield curve has maintained a good record in predicting US recessions. However, it is not the inverted curve that really indicates the coming of a recession, but when the curve turns positive. We will not see a recession until the data shows a recession, but the market is definitely shrinking. In addition to the slope of the curve, the 2-year Treasury yield fell by 20 basis points, nominally 170 basis points lower than the Fed funds rate, which would not happen if there were no real problems in the economy. (Jinshi)