The weekend has fallen so much, let's recharge our faith and talk about it in detail: the next market analysis
Main rising wave market, bottom-picking opportunities, main time nodes
August and September 2024: shock, correction and shock.
The current game between recession expectations and interest rate cut expectations. (Although recession is not going to happen) but what the market thinks is very important. So if you want to get rid of the current downturn, you need to have positive news to stabilize emotions. The interest rate cut in September will be implemented.
And there will be a general election debate on September 10th in September. Before the interest rate meeting. Let's see what Trump said.
In October, the election is approaching. And the interest rate cut in September has passed. At that time, we will see what expectations are there for trading. And especially the propositions of the two parties.
In November, the election results will be announced on the 5th. Of course, I hope Trump will be elected (Trump's friendly and positive attitude towards encryption). Of course, no matter who comes to power, it will be a big fiscal stimulus. Although it has not been implemented, it is bound to drive emotions.
After the election, there will be a wave of market. As for how high#BTCcan go, it is hard to say at present.
In December, FASB (this benefit has been explained before) will officially take effect on December 15, which is no less beneficial than BTC spot ETF.
In January 2025, the new president will officially take office. The emotions brought by the events mentioned in November and December will definitely continue.
February, here. In fact, from October onwards, we should focus on GDP, unemployment rate and inflation. Why.
Because: the only major uncertain event mentioned above is the economic situation, the possibility of recession and the specific time.
If there is a recession, the risk market will definitely panic and pull back; and then it will be followed by water release.
Then there will be a violent bull market in the risk market.
The above is mainly the current, integrated event situation for the next market forecast, which actually depends on the time of the next US economy, inflation, fiscal and monetary policy.
But the market expectation cannot be escaped.
So let the bullets fly for a while, there are many opportunities to buy at the bottom.
Finally, I hope everyone can seize the next market.
