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🤔Federal Reserve rate cut suspense re-emerges

Weak non-farm payrolls may trigger a 50 basis point rate cut in September,

Federal debt is over $35 trillion, interest has become a devouring beast❗️

Federal Reserve rate cut expectations

Current situation: Eric Diton, president of Wealth Alliance, pointed out that the Fed missed an opportunity by not cutting interest rates this week, given the increase in initial jobless claims and the ISM manufacturing PMI's weakness for four consecutive months.

Data dependence: Fed Chairman Powell emphasized data orientation, and Friday's non-farm payrolls report became the focus.

Rate cut forecast: If non-farm payrolls data is extremely weak, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September.

Federal debt challenges:

Debt size: The U.S. federal debt has reached $35 trillion.

Interest burden: Debt interest payments account for 17% of total federal spending, eroding policy adjustment space.

[Rate Cut Outlook]

Background 👉 The Fed missed the opportunity to cut interest rates this week, and economic data is not optimistic.

Key data 📊 Unemployment benefit applications rose, and manufacturing PMI continued to be sluggish.

Market expectations 📉 Weak non-farm payrolls may trigger a 50BP rate cut in September.

Large scale 💰 The total federal debt has exceeded the 35 trillion US dollar mark.

Interest pressure 🔥 Interest expenses swallow up nearly one-fifth of the federal budget, and decision-making space is limited.

The signs of the Fed's rate cut are emerging

🌟 Economic data double happiness 🌟
Tonight at 8:30, the United States will announce the July unemployment rate and seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls data. If both show a positive trend, it will undoubtedly inject strong confidence into the market.

🗣️ Powell's remarks add weight 🗣️
Combined with the interest rate cut time clues from Fed Chairman Powell yesterday, this positive data will undoubtedly add fuel to the expectation of a rate cut in September.

🔍 The interest rate cut window has quietly opened 🔍
Taking comprehensive considerations, the possibility of the Fed's interest rate cut in September is rising sharply, and the global economic structure may usher in a new round of adjustments.

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