#A little understanding of the BTC cycle

Many people blindly think that a four-year cycle is a cycle. I think it has never been the case.

What I think

Bull market: a complete rising band at the level of the big pie monthly line

Bear market: a complete falling band at the level of the big pie monthly line

Look at the picture, there has never been a bear market for 4 years or a bull market for 4 years

It is true that BTC is halved every four years, but there is a bull-bear cycle in four years

It is just a concept that is inexplicably implanted in many people's minds

Just look at the picture and I mark the bull market I think with a green frame and the bear market with a red frame

The so-called last bull market should be the longest-lasting Bitcoin bull market so far

From January 2020 to November 21, 20 months, Bitcoin rose by 1,700%

It just happened to be stuck after the halving, but don't look at the narrative, look at what actually happened

The last round had the largest QE in history of the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy after the epidemic in Russia and Ukraine

Finally, let's look at this round

From the data, it started in November 22, and the highest point is currently in March this year

If there is no new high This bull market lasts 15 months. If a new high is reached in August or September, then it will last 22-23 months.