Do we have to wait another two months? Will the rate cut in August kill us?
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September is 100%
According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 90.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 9.5%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by November is 21.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 71.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points is 7.2%.
