I watched Trump's speech last night, but was disappointed in the end. The expected new content did not appear, and he was still repeating the same old topics. In fact, the good news in the market had been digested long before the speech, and this speech was just a vote-pulling in a different place.

For this US election, I am more inclined to believe that Trump will lose the election, and Harris is likely to be elected. From the perspective of the financial market, VC investment has dropped sharply since the third quarter. Trump's high-profile support for Bitcoin looks more like a pull-up and shipment. From a technical perspective, this behavior may lead to Bitcoin moving out of the downward channel on the four-hour chart, or continue to fluctuate downward.

In order to bring a new boost to the market, unless Harris also publicly supports Bitcoin, or the Federal Reserve really injects liquidity into the currency market, it will be difficult to find new funds to drive the market up. If the interest rate is raised in September, the market may rise first, but then the good news will be exhausted and turn into bad news, and the fish tail market will arrive early, and the market may weaken.

However, if the interest rate is raised in November, it may bring a wave of rises, ushering in the opportunity of the golden September and silver October. I would rather see the market go down in August (Trump's defeat forms the bottom), then raise interest rates in November, and the golden September and silver October arrive. If the market follows this script, where are our opportunities?

In this case, our strategy should be to open short orders for Bitcoin and mainstream currencies at high points, and increase positions at spot lows. This strategy can not only profit from market fluctuations, but also increase positions when the market is down, preparing for future increases.

In general, although Trump's speech is disappointing, we can see the future market trends and opportunities from it. I hope that the market performance in the next few months will verify our judgment and bring us rich returns. #比特币大会