Everyone always says that 2025 will be the year of the crazy bull market, and it is said to be the last chance for retail investors.

There are roughly several reasons.

1. The next round is highly tied to the US economy.

2. The US 2024, which is this year, is the election year. There is a high probability of a large release of money 1-2 years after the election.

If the president is replaced, it is almost inevitable to release money. Then there is a high probability that the domestic market will follow the release of money.

3. Domestic policy risks, the biggest destabilizing factor in the past currency circle, have been eliminated. After the full withdrawal of mining, the influence on the currency circle is very low.

4. The visible participation of young people with high education, young, and middle-class families has occurred in many emerging industries. They will become new legends and drive more people and more funds into the market.

5. With the approval of Bitcoin ETF, a large amount of funds can easily enter the market and drive demand.

6. Bitcoin halving, I put this at the end because I think this is not a key factor in the bull market. However, there is a high probability that it will become a key signal, which is equivalent to releasing a reason to promote the bull market for institutions, retail investors, and large investors. The judgment of the trend background mainly includes the following points

First, the capital side

If the market wants to rise, it must require a huge amount of funds to replenish it. Only when demand exceeds supply will it trigger a price increase. The currently known capital news is BlackRock. The Bitcoin ETF, which was first applied for by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, was approved by Hong Kong not long ago. This is the core point where a large amount of funds will enter the market one after another. One is the entry of European and American institutions, and the other is the entry of institutions in the Asia-Pacific region.

Second, fundamentals

Bitcoin will be halved on April 20, which is a major positive. It has been settled. This means that the cost price of Bitcoin will increase. It was around 20,000 before. After halving, it will be at least around 40,000 US dollars.

Third, policy

This mainly considers the interest rate cut by the United States. There is news that the interest rate will be cut in September, but it has not been confirmed yet. Further attention is needed. Overall, the advantages of the currency circle are good. This is also the most objective analysis at the moment. After talking about the macro level, this bull market will definitely be a very crazy bull market. A large amount of funds and retail investors will pour into this industry. When an industry is slowly crowded with people everywhere, the profit will end.$BTC $ETH