### Analysis according to the chart #CTSI /USDT
#### Price movement forecast (short term, medium term)
- Short-term forecast: In the coming weeks, the price may fluctuate between current support and resistance levels, trying to break through the downward trend channel.
- Medium-term forecast: An exit from the current downward trend is possible if the price can steadily gain a foothold above the current resistance at around $0.17.
#### Support and resistance levels
- Support: $0.13, $0.11
- Resistance: $0.17, $0.22
#### Possible entry, exit, stop loss points for a long position
- Entry: Upon breakdown and consolidation above $0.17
- Yield: About $0.22
- Stop Loss: Below $0.13
#### Possible entry, exit, stop loss points for short positions
- Entry: On a rebound from the resistance level of $0.17
- Yield: About $0.13
- Stop Loss: Above $0.18
#### Scenario analysis and probability assessment
1. Long scenario:
- Probability: 60%
- Reasons: Potential exit from a downtrend, presence of strong support levels.
2. Short scenario:
- Probability: 40%
- Reasons: The current downward trend has not yet been broken, a possible rebound from resistance.
#### Additional factors:
- Liquidation Heatmap: The presence of high liquidation levels near current prices may contribute to increased volatility.
- Exchange Reserve: A decrease in exchange reserves over the last 7 days, which could signal a withdrawal of assets from exchanges, a potentially bullish sign.
- Net deposits on exchanges: A decrease in net deposits, which can also be a bullish signal.
- Capital inflows: Capital outflows predominate, which may put pressure on prices.
- Inflow of large holders: Outflow of large holders predominates.
- Growth of active and new addresses: A slight increase in active and new addresses, which can be a positive signal.
- Trading volume: An increase in trading volume over the last 7 days, indicating increased interest in the asset.
Based on all the above data and factors, the long scenario has a slightly higher probability due to a possible breakout of the downtrend and confirmation of the support level. However, it is necessary to closely monitor key resistance levels and market dynamics.
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