What is the ideal time to invest in Bitcoin (BTC) has been a topic that has been on the minds of investors. However, mathematician and scientist Giovanni Santostasi has a different perspective on this issue. According to the "power law model" he developed, there is always a right time to invest in Bitcoin. Here are the detailsâŠ
A promising prediction for Bitcoin
Santostasi explained the basis of his model in an interview with Simply Bitcoin. According to this model, investing today and waiting 15 years would effectively double Bitcoin's existence. The power law expresses incremental growth over time and shows that Bitcoin's value can increase significantly as its existence lengthens. The model relates Bitcoin's price movements over time and enables more accurate predictions from this relationship.
However, the power law model is not immune from some criticism. Some experts doubt whether the model can accurately reflect Bitcoin's price movements in the long term. Still, Santostasi and his supporters, such as mathematician Fred Krueger, argue that the power law is a valuable scientific method for predicting Bitcoin's future performance. In the interview, Krueger objected to the 24% annual compound return rate predicted by investor Michael Saylor for Bitcoin, stating that its actual rate is around 44% and that it could enter a downward trend over the next 20 years.
"Aggressive" suggestion from Santostasi
Santostasi recommends an aggressive strategy for young Bitcoin investors with a long-term investment horizon. This strategy predicts that within 15 years investors can return 100 to 150 times their initial capital. According to the power law model, significant returns of 64 to 150 times the initial investment can be achieved within 15 years. Using his model, Santostasi predicts that Bitcoin could reach $1 million in about 10 years. He also emphasizes that the concept of scale invariance helps us understand the importance of the recently approved Bitcoin ETFs. These ETFs have enabled many individual and institutional investors to invest in Bitcoin.
Santostasi notes that such developments are critical for Bitcoin's growth, but that the expansion of the network will not have a dramatic impact on the price as it is already part of the model. In conclusion, Santostasi's power law model suggests that there can always be a right time to invest in Bitcoin. However, it is important to remember that this model has its critics and long-term predictions are not always accurate. It is wise to do your own research and evaluate the risks before investing in Bitcoin.
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