! ! Analysis of the latest news from the Federal Reserve! !

"The U.S. CPI in June cooled more than expected,

Is the interest rate cut storm coming?

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year has soared to 99%,

The global financial market has set off a huge wave!"

U.S. inflation data

U.S. CPI data in June:

Year-on-year data: up 3% year-on-year, lower than the market expectation of 3.1%, the lowest level since June last year.

Month-on-month data: down 0.1% month-on-month, significantly lower than the market expectation of 0.1%, the first decline since May 2020.

Core CPI: Core CPI excluding food and energy is +3.3% year-on-year, significantly lower than the market expectation of 3.4%, setting a new historical low in the past three years; up 0.1% month-on-month, both the expected and previous values ​​are up 0.2%, the smallest increase since August 2021.

Market impact: This set of data has strengthened the Fed's motivation to cut interest rates this year. The market expects the probability of a rate cut in September to soar to 92.7%, and the probability of at least one rate cut this year has risen to 99%. The expectation of a rate cut has boosted dollar-denominated assets such as Hong Kong stocks, US bonds, and gold. $BTC $ETH #币安7周年 #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？