CPI data is good, why is it still falling last night?

The data is only for reference. The specific details are whether the financial side is willing to pull the offer, how many people buy and how many sell!

The anticipation of an interest rate cut does not mean that the market will start immediately. This requires a buffering time!

Let’s look at the relationship between CPI (Consumer Price Index) and interest rate cuts. Tonight's CPI data released a positive signal. All four key ratios were lower than market expectations. In particular, the annual CPI rate fell back to 3.0%, setting a new low since April 2021. This data indicates that inflationary pressures have eased, paving the way for future interest rate cuts. However, we also need to note that core CPI (CPI excluding food and energy prices) did not decline significantly, which reflects that some basic inflationary pressures in the economy still exist.

In addition, seasonal factors need to be considered in the interpretation of CPI data. Unseasonally adjusted data may be affected by seasonal fluctuations, and differences in seasonal adjustment methods may also bias the data results. Therefore, when interpreting CPI data, we should remain cautious and pay attention to the actual economic dynamics behind the data.

With the positive CPI data and increasing expectations of interest rate cuts, market sentiment may remain positive in the short term. The market may usher in a small rebound, but the specific height remains to be seen.

In the short term, we still need to be wary of several potential risk points: First, the small selling pressure that may be brought about by the BTC held by the German government; second, whether the interest rate cut is carried out in September or November, the market may face risks in the short term. The pressure caused by uncertainty; the third is the upcoming Federal Reserve FOMC meeting on July 31, whose decisions will directly affect the market's expectations for the timing of interest rate cuts.

Therefore, funds are waiting for an accurate time to cut interest rates, so now it is a slight increase!

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