#巴菲特承认比特币 #巴菲特

Several famous thought experiments of Buffett

1 "Buy 10% of lifetime income" experiment

Buffett imagined a scenario. If you can buy 10% of the lifetime income of a friend or classmate, who would you choose? This choice requires that you cannot choose the second generation of rich people, but only those who rely on their own efforts. Through this experiment, Buffett emphasized that when choosing an investment object, you should pay attention to personal qualities, behaviors and personality, because these factors often determine a person's long-term success.

Long-term perspective: In financial management, we also need to have a long-term perspective and pay attention to the long-term growth potential and stability of the investment object.

Quality and investment: When choosing an investment object, in addition to financial indicators, you should also pay attention to its soft power such as management team and corporate culture, which often affect the long-term development of the company.

2 "Ovarian Lottery" experiment

Buffett proposed that 24 hours before a person is born, a spirit allows him to design the rules of the society he will enter, but he does not know where he will be born or what kind of person he will become. This thought experiment emphasizes the important role of "luck" in life success.

Risk cognition: In the process of financial management, we need to recognize the existence of risks and learn to take risks within a controllable range.

Humility and hard work: Although luck plays an important role in success, personal efforts and wisdom are also indispensable. In financial management, we should remain humble, keep learning, and improve our investment capabilities.

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