Discussion on the relationship between the Fed's interest rate cuts and the bull market
Interest rate cuts are often seen as a harbinger of a bull market. Could 2025 be a new starting point? However, there are also views that the bull market may have arrived before the first interest rate cut, because the realization of interest rate cuts as good news may sometimes trigger market adjustments, as the history of U.S. stocks is an example.
However, there are different market views on the upcoming year, and many observers are not optimistic that next year will be a bull market.
Some analysts believe that 2025 may be the end of the bull market. Of course, there is still uncertainty about whether there will be a big bull market in 2025, and the next few years are more likely to be a continuation of the current bull market.
The core variable lies in interest rate cut expectations. Once formed, stock prices may fluctuate.
Looking back at history, the Federal Reserve started to cut interest rates in July 2019, which lasted for 8 months, but the bull market in the cryptocurrency market started after the end of the interest rate cut.
Therefore, even if interest rates are cut in 2025, if the process starts in September this year and continues for a year, the subsequent bull market may be more significant.
It will take time for the effect of interest rate cuts to appear. The current interest rate is nearly 5.5%, and the rate of interest rate cuts may be larger in the future.
However, specific interest rate changes are currently difficult to predict. #非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛