The past month has been a heavy loss for Bitcoin investors. The price of the currency has continued to decline from the high of nearly 72,000 at the beginning of last month, and once fell below the 60,000 mark. As the beginning of July, the funds of ETFs have gradually resumed positive inflows, and the price of BTC has also taken advantage of the trend to get rid of the 60,000-62,000 range at the end of last month, challenging $63,200 twice. This will be the key to witness whether BTC can continue to recover its lost ground, and investors have high hopes for this. But if the challenge fails, BTC is likely to repeat the tragedy of June and fall below 61,000 again. At the same time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech on Tuesday. After that, many influential US macro data will also be released to the market, such as the ADP and service industry PMI indicators on Wednesday, and the non-agricultural and hourly wages on Friday, which will all be closely watched by the market.
Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar
Source: Farside Investors；Trading View
In terms of options, implied volatility is still declining, BTC continues to break recent historical lows, and ETH IV has experienced several sharp fluctuations under the impact of several ETF News, but the overall trend is still downward, currently around 50+%, generally 15% higher than BTC Vol in the same period. Back to Ethereum ETF, the US SEC returned all S-1 forms to issuers, and the market expects that it should be approved within two weeks. In addition, judging from the published rates, in order to seize the market, Ethereum's ETF rates will be lower than Bitcoin ETFs, all below 30 basis points.
Source: Deribit (as of 2 JUL 16: 00 UTC+ 8)
Source: SignalPlus
Data Source: Deribit, overall distribution of ETH transactions
Data Source: Deribit, overall distribution of BTC transactions
Source: Deribit Block Trade
Source: Deribit Block Trade
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