9 key signs to predict when the bull market will reach its peak.
I've looked at them all... and I'm SHOCKED
They're showing us something a lot of people might not want to hear
Ignore if you like... but I wouldn't 👇🧵
Trying to guess the market peak from a single chart is tough.
I've been in crypto for years and learned how to exit at just the right time, not too early or too late.
Here's what I watch for ⬇️
1. The Altcoin Season Index:
➔ Indicates when altcoins begin to outperform BTC, often signaling a peak point level.
➔ A higher value up to 75 suggests the market may have reached its peak.
2. 22-Day RSI:
➔ Historically, a 22-day RSI exceeding 90 has frequently aligned with market highs.
➔ Typically, the market reaches its peak within 3 to 6 weeks after such readings.
3. 4-Year Moving Average Deviation:
➔ This metric measures how much the current price diverges from its four-year moving average.
➔ Significant deviations, often marked by red or orange circles on charts, indicate potential peak moments
4. MVRV Z-Score:
➔ This metric assesses the valuation of Bitcoin against its 'real' value.
➔ Historically, when the MVRV Z-Score exceeds 3, it has aligned with Bitcoin’s cyclical peaks, signaling a time to closely monitor the market conditions.
5. Pi Cycle Top Indicator:
➔ Known for its remarkable accuracy, the Pi Cycle Top indicator has successfully identified Bitcoin's cycle highs three times.
➔ It functions by pinpointing when the 111-day moving average crosses above twice the value of the 350-day moving average
6. NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss):
➔ This indicator reflects the overall market sentiment.
➔ When the NUPL reaches or exceeds 75%, it suggests that the market may be approaching its peak.
7. Composite Business Cycle Indicator:
➔ Typically rises above the 50-52 range before the market reaches its peak.
➔ This increase can signal an impending high in the business cycle.
8.Mayer Multiple:
➔ This metric compares Bitcoin's current price to its 200-day moving average.
➔ Historically, the market has peaked when this ratio exceeds 2.4.
➔ Currently, the prices are well below this threshold, indicating potential for growth.
9. BTC Rainbow Chart
➔ This chart tracks Bitcoin's price trends and gives signals to buy, hold, or sell based on market sentiment.
➔ Right now, it indicates we're in the accumulation phase, suggesting it's a good time to collect more Bitcoin.
➔ Additionally, when everyone around you begins talking about investing in crypto and speculates about further gains, it often indicates that the market might be nearing its peak.
➔ This heightened enthusiasm and greed can be a clear signal that we are at a critical high.
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