Retail Investor Revolution (9) Don't Give Money to the Big Players in a Bear Market: Don't Touch SpaceX Pre-Sale, Be More Cautious with CHZ World Cup Trends!
1. Early this morning, someone in the community saw that certain exchanges listed the SpaceX IPO pre-sale and asked me if he could participate. I advised him not to touch it.
The reason is simple: First, the current international environment is still weak, and the U.S. stock market is overall near historical highs, often peaking right at the opening; this trend has repeated itself over the past two years.
Second, opportunities like SpaceX, which are world-class financing opportunities, inherently have information, chip, and rule differences compared to retail investors, who often just take the last baton. It's better to wait for the official listing and then see if there is a pullback, or directly wait for Tesla TSLA to pull back below 360;
Third, some small exchanges do not actually have real pre-sale quotas, but instead set various rules traps.
2. The same reasoning applies to CHZ in the context of the World Cup. Looking at the monthly chart makes it clear that this coin's highs have been consistently declining over the years, indicating that the upper trapped positions and the distribution structure by big players have not changed. Sports events are often not the starting point for big players to pull up prices; instead, they are more like a time window for them to sell off using hot topics.
CHZ hit a low of 0.01 in October last year, which is much closer to its true strong support area. At the current position, the upward space is not large, and the downward risk is not small.
3. If you really want to bet on the World Cup heat, I am more inclined towards Nike NKE. The current stock price is only around $46, and the risk-reward ratio is clearly healthier than chasing high-concept coins. The World Cup is one of the strongest sports marketing scenes globally; once the national teams and stars sponsored by Nike generate ongoing topics during the event, it will directly drive sales of jerseys, training kits, and lifestyle products. At the same time, Nike is continuously strengthening the narrative for the 2026 World Cup, with North America being one of the hosts this time, benefiting brand exposure and local consumption. Key national teams sponsored by Nike include the USA, France, England, Brazil, and the Netherlands, while key stars include Mbappe, Vinicius, Haaland, and Bellingham. These top traffic sources are more likely to truly convert into sales catalysts during the World Cup cycle.
The core of making money in the crypto world has never been about chasing trends, but about understanding risk-reward ratios and seizing certainty!
#世界杯 #SpaceX $CHZ $TSLA
$ETH