Shift from Yield Curve Inversion Concerns to 'Dis-Inversion' Warnings🤝
Adding to the negative sentiment is a recent focus on the "dis-inversion" in the yield curve; while many casual bond investors were worried about an inverted yield curve being the onset of a recession for much of early 2023 (remember that?), it's often the dis-inversion of the yield curve that actually signals the onset of an incoming slowdown. While nothing in markets is 100%, stocks have historically not had a great time in a 'post-disinversion' environment, and it is a view that we are currently leaning towards as well. Tread carefully.
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