Donald Trump won the election, Bitcoin is literally worth over $107,000 right now, and Wall Streetās now drooling over crypto like itās the new gold rush. Sounds perfect, right? Except it actually isnāt.
Thanks to Trump, crypto is sinking its claws deep into everything. Wall Street, banks, pensions, 401(k)sāplaces it never belonged. Thatās great for investors I guess, but if you ask me and any other true Bitcoin believer, thereās a dark reality behind the hype.
It is an unwritten law of the world that whatever goes up must eventually come down. So no matter how high Bitcoin goes, it will crash in the end. And the scary part is when it does, itāll be the worst weāve ever seen. Naturally, since the market has never reached current levels.
The higher the stakes, the worse the crash. Just ask Wall Street bros. For years, cryptoās appeal was its independence from the system. Now, the system is embracing it. Weāre not the rebels anymore, weāre the establishment.
At the July Bitcoin Conference, Trump threw out an idea that stunned everyoneāa āstrategic national Bitcoin stockpile.ā Analysts are taking this seriously. Under Trump, the U.S. could actually start hoarding Bitcoin like itās gold. If that sounds insane, it gets wilder. This guy wants $15 trillion in Bitcoin reserves.
Even before his election win, the floodgates were opening. BlackRock and other financial giants launched Bitcoin ETFs, giving ordinary investors access to Bitcoin through their brokerage accounts. Crypto is breaking into mainstream finance at full speed but with zero brakes.
Trumpās crypto army is dismantling the rules ā There will be costs
After the last crash in 2022 when Bitcoin fell apart and billions evaporated, the industry didnāt actually stop. There was no new ākiller appā or game-changing technology to win back trust. Instead, they played politics.
Over $130 million poured into political campaigns during this yearās election cycle. The crypto industry sold lawmakers on a story: ignore us at your own risk because ācrypto votersā are coming for you. The pitch was brilliant, even if the ācrypto voterā narrative was stitched together out of thin air.
Trump ran with it. His administration is already lining up crypto loyalists for key regulatory roles. Paul Atkins, a longtime critic of financial oversight and a strong crypto lover, is Trumpās pick to lead the SEC.Ā
Under him, the crypto industry will face less scrutiny, not more. If you think fraud was bad in 2022, just wait. Though Trumpās playbook doesnāt stop at gutting the SEC. As we speak, Congress is working to move crypto oversight to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Compared to the SEC, the CFTC is frankly quite underfunded and far less experienced with cryptoās retail-heavy markets. The result? A regulatory free-for-all, exactly what the industry wants.
The CFPB is next. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau was created after the 2008 crash to protect consumers from predatory financial practices. Cryptoās biggest names hate it. Marc Andreessen slammed the agency, calling it a roadblock for crypto firms.
Elon Musk doubled down, telling the government to ādelete CFPB.ā To be fair, these guys have a point.Ā If Trump and Congress gut the CFPB, itās open season for crypto platforms, fintech startups, and shady payment systems.
Tens of thousands of people were left stranded when Synapse, a fintech company backed by Marc, collapsed earlier this year. That kind of chaos would only get worse without consumer protections.
Banks and pensions are playing with fire
The last time crypto imploded, banks were relatively safe. Pension funds and 401(k)s barely felt a thing. Regulators made sure of that. The 2022 crash was brutal for retail investors, but hey, at least it didnāt trigger a financial meltdown. That firewall is now crumbling.
The SECās approval of Bitcoin and Ether ETFs opened the door. Banks and traditional investment firms are stepping in, eager to capitalize on cryptoās new wave. Now retirement administrators are adding Bitcoin exposure to 401(k) plans. The industry is even fighting to hold crypto directly on their balance sheets.
Itās not hard to see where this is heading. Crypto firms have already fought to kill protections like SEC Staff Accounting Bulletin 121. The rule forced banks to disclose crypto holdings and keep reserves to back customer assets.
Lawmakers passed a bill in early 2024 to overturn it, but Biden vetoed the attempt. Trump wonāt. Under his leadership, those protections will vanish, leaving banks fully exposed.
But the presidentās plans arenāt just about deregulation. His World Liberty Financial projectāa decentralized finance (DeFi) platformāis already spending millions on crypto acquisitions. Reports say the project burned through $45 million in December alone.
The real endgame
FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried spent over $100 million buying political influence. He pitched lawmakers a vision of a regulated crypto future, where firms could āself-regulateā and innovation would flourish. It was a scam. FTX blew up, and billions of dollars disappeared overnight.
The crypto industry hasnāt changed. Itās still lobbying hard against regulations. Itās still pushing lawmakers to look the other way. And now it has Trump in its corner.
Iād feel safer if I actually trusted that these guys truly believe in Bitcoin. But I donāt, because, at the end of the day, politics really is just politics. If Bitcoin wasnāt going to make Trump richer in any way at all, how many of you can say for a fact that you believe heād still be all in?
Letās not be delusional. Every bull run ends in collapse. And every collapse leaves devastation in its wake. The difference now is Bitcoin has grown too big to fail.
A crypto crash under Trump wouldnāt just hurt retail investors and break my heart. It would hit the banking system, pension funds, and the entire global economy. So as we watch Mr. Trump recite the oath of office, beware that a countdown will be starting.
How long do we have until the next ācrypto winterā ?
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