Bitcoin is currently trading around $104,000, but according to an analysis by Japanese exchange BitBank, its price could drop back to $100,000 due to negative U.S. economic data related to inflation and employment figures.
Market Focus Shifts to Macroeconomic Factors
According to Yuya Hasegawa, a market analyst at BitBank, after Donald Trump’s inauguration, the crypto market is now focusing on upcoming U.S. economic reports.
📉 Although inflation slightly decreased in December, it remains stubbornly high.
📉 If the upcoming economic data is unfavorable, Bitcoin could face further downward pressure.
Ethereum, which typically follows Bitcoin’s movements, is currently performing better. After the SEC approved Bitwise’s BTC-ETH ETF, investor interest in Ethereum has significantly increased.
Ethereum ETF Reverses Trend and Sees Positive Inflows
📊 Ethereum ETFs have turned positive after several days of outflows.
📊 Funds are now adding $67.8 million worth of ETH to their holdings.
This positive trend in Ethereum could provide market stability, but Bitcoin remains under pressure due to macroeconomic conditions.
Negative Inflation Data Could Influence Fed's Decisions
On Friday, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index rose by 0.3% in December, higher than expected.
📉 If inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is unlikely to ease interest rates.
📉 High interest rates typically reduce market liquidity, negatively impacting cryptocurrencies.
However, James Wo, founder of Digital Finance Group, believes that if inflation starts to decline, expectations of lower interest rates could trigger a bullish trend.
“Expected rate cuts will increase the money supply, which boosts purchasing power and often drives market growth,” Wo explained.
Regulatory Changes and Their Impact on Crypto Markets
Despite concerns about inflation, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum remains positive.
📌 Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently suggested that U.S. banks could cooperate with crypto firms.
📌 The removal of the restrictive SAB 121 rule indicates potential deregulation in the sector.
📌 This could attract new institutional investors, strengthening the market over the long run.
Trump's Policies and the Rising Interest in Reserve Assets
According to 10X Research, Trump’s trade policies could support Bitcoin, much like they recently boosted gold prices.
📊 Since his election, 393 metric tons of gold—worth $35 billion—have been moved into COMEX vaults in New York.
📊 This increased gold reserves by 75%, the highest level since 2022.
Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, which means that rising gold prices could also drive demand for Bitcoin as an alternative reserve asset.
Will Bitcoin Continue to Decline or Bounce Back?
⚠️ Analysts warn that BTC could drop to $100,000 in the short term.
🚀 However, the long-term outlook remains positive, especially if the Fed lowers interest rates and institutional interest in crypto continues to grow.
The answer to whether Bitcoin will keep falling or stage a strong recovery will become clearer in the coming weeks as new economic data is released. 📊🔥

#BTC , #bitcoin , #CryptoAnalysis , #CryptoMarket , #ETH

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,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

According to hedge fund Elliott Management, which manages $71 billion in assets, Donald Trump’s support for cryptocurrencies could lead to market turmoil. The fund warns that the current crypto boom is part of a speculative frenzy that may end in a catastrophic crash.
Elliott Management emphasizes that digital asset prices are skyrocketing without real substance, criticizing politicians who endorse crypto for playing a dangerous game.
Hedge Fund Warns of an Inevitable Crash
According to the Financial Times, the fund warned investors that Trump’s influence on the crypto sector could have unpredictable consequences.
“The inevitable bursting of this bubble could cause chaos in ways we cannot yet foresee.”
The fund compares the current crypto hype to the AI boom and skyrocketing stock prices, referring to investors as “a crowd of sports bettors”.
It argues that crypto is at the epicenter of this speculative mania, mainly due to Trump’s connections to the sector.
Elliott Management, which managed nearly $70 billion in assets in 2024, highlights that any official promoting alternatives to the US dollar is making a highly risky move.
Trump’s Business Ventures in Crypto Are Expanding
Donald Trump and his sons have become increasingly involved in the crypto sector. They endorsed World Liberty Financial, a decentralized finance (DeFi) fund, which is already under investigation for potential insider trading.
In January 2025, Trump and his wife Melania Trump launched meme coins, further fueling the crypto craze:
🔹 Official Trump (TRUMP)
🔹 Melania (MELANIA)
These moves have further intensified the crypto frenzy.
Additionally, Trump Media, where Trump holds a majority stake, has announced plans to invest up to $250 million in cryptocurrencies, as previously reported by crypto.news.
Elliott Management Founder Criticizes Trump’s Economic Policies
Paul Singer, the founder of Elliott Management, is a longtime Republican donor. In 2024, he contributed $56 million to Republican campaigns but has criticized Trump’s economic policies.
Despite this, he previously donated $5 million to Trump’s Political Action Committee (PAC).
The hedge fund concludes that the current crypto market is unlike anything seen before:
“We have never seen a market like this.”
The fund warns that if Trump’s crypto agenda fuels a financial bubble, its collapse could have severe repercussions not just for crypto but for the broader financial markets. 🚨

#DonaldTrump , #TRUMP , #Memecoins🤑🤑 , #NFT​ , #CryptoMarket

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Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

In 2014, Bitcoin recorded a -57.6% change. In 2018 and 2022, it also showed declines of -73.3% and -64.3%, respectively. This suggests that the Bitcoin market follows a four-year boom-and-bust cycle. In short, every fourth year, the market experiences a crash. Based on this pattern, 2026 could be a challenging year for BTC.
A recent statement by Matt Hougan, the Global Head of Research at Bitwise Asset Management, suggests that few experts believe BTC will face a major crash in 2026. Why? Want to know more? Keep reading!
Understanding Bitcoin's Traditional 4-Year Cycle
The -57.6% drop in 2014 marked the lowest point of Bitcoin’s first cycle. In 2011 and 2012, the market saw gains of +1,435% and +183.5%, respectively. By 2013, the third year of the cycle, Bitcoin experienced a massive rally of +5,435%.
Similarly, in 2018, Bitcoin saw its biggest drop in the second cycle, declining by -73.3%. The previous two years had recorded +34.4% in 2015 and +123.8% in 2016. In 2017, Bitcoin surged by +1,369%.
The third cycle followed a similar pattern, with a -64.3% drop in 2022. However, unlike previous cycles, the market didn’t outperform the second year’s +304.1% growth in its third year (+59.6%).

Causes of Previous Crypto Market Crashes
One of the main reasons for the Bitcoin market crash in 2014 was the collapse of Mt. Gox. In 2018, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) crackdown on Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) played a significant role. In 2022, the collapse of major players like FTX, Three Arrows Capital, Celsius, and BlockFi triggered the downturn.
Could the Bitcoin Cycle Change?
Given historical trends, it seems logical to expect a crash in 2026. So why do experts like Matt Hougan disagree?
The key argument is that the crypto market is now far more mature than it was in 2014, 2018, or 2022.
The political climate in the U.S. has shifted in favor of the crypto industry following Donald Trump’s victory last November.
Shortly after assuming office as President of the United States, Trump signed an executive order aimed at bringing greater clarity to crypto regulations and exploring the possibility of creating a national digital asset reserve.
Experts like Hougan believe that these developments could inject trillions of dollars into the Bitcoin market.
Highlighting the favorable environment created by the removal of the controversial Staff Accounting Bulletin 121, which required financial institutions holding cryptocurrencies to record them as liabilities, Hougan recently expressed his highly optimistic outlook for the BTC market. However, he noted that Bitcoin might not immediately reflect the impact of these developments.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Hougan predicts that the Bitcoin market could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. Interestingly, he stated that the creation of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve is not a prerequisite for reaching this price milestone.
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle has historically been a strong pattern, but Trump’s crypto-friendly policies and Wall Street’s increasing involvement could shift the dynamics. While 2026 may still bring volatility, experts believe the market is stronger than ever before. With a $200,000 BTC forecast by 2025, the coming years could redefine the future of cryptocurrencies. 🚀

#BTC , #bitcoin , #CryptoNewss , #DonaldTrump , #CryptoMarket

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Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

At the beginning of 2025, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing impressive growth: Bitcoin ($BTC ) has surpassed the $103,000 mark, setting a new all-time high. One of the key factors behind this surge is the decision of the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%. This move reflects a cautious approach to monetary policy, significantly impacting the digital asset market.
Stable interest rates reduce the attractiveness of traditional savings instruments such as bonds and bank deposits, driving investors toward riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies. At the same time, institutional interest in Bitcoin continues to grow, especially following the approval of spot ETFs. This not only boosts confidence in the cryptocurrency market but also increases its liquidity.
Experts believe that the current economic landscape creates favorable conditions for the continuation of the upward trend. The Federal Reserve's policy, combined with Bitcoin's upcoming halving in 2028, could further support the cryptocurrency's value growth. However, it is important to remember that the crypto market remains highly volatile, and investors should maintain a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks.
Thus, early 2025 could mark a turning point in the history of digital assets, opening new opportunities for investors and reaffirming Bitcoin's growing role in the global financial system.
#FedHODL #Bitcoin $BTC #CryptoMarket #BullRun

$BTC

After multiple alerts regarding potential liquidations, this is the last call before Bitcoin embarks on a significant movement that could take days or even weeks to fully unfold. The market is primed for volatility, with BTC’s next all-time high (ATH) projected between $67,000 and $77,000 in this cycle. However, before that milestone, the price is expected to dip toward $87,000, a critical psychological and technical support level.
📉 Market Reality Check
The speculative frenzy around BTC surpassing $120,000 has faded, and the market is returning to more rational trading conditions. With no immediate macroeconomic catalysts—such as Federal Reserve interventions, China-driven momentum, or policy shifts—the short-term sentiment suggests a natural correction before the next leg up.
🔥 Key Technical Indicators Signaling a Pullback
✅ Extended Monthly RSI: Overbought conditions indicate a potential price reversal in the short term.
✅ Stochastic RSI Overheating: Reinforces the likelihood of an imminent correction.
✅ Bearish Moving Average Cross: Suggests weakening bullish momentum, hinting at a temporary trend shift.
✅ Stock Market Correlation: With Nasdaq and S&P 500 experiencing turbulence, Bitcoin could face similar pressures, especially with tech-driven market volatility.
📊 Critical Price Levels to Watch
🔹 $87,000 - Key Support Zone: A break below this region could trigger accelerated selling pressure.
🔹 $67,000 - $77,000 - Resistance Zone: BTC’s next bullish push is expected to face strong overhead resistance in this range.
🔮 Final Thoughts: Strategy Moving Forward
While the broader bullish trend remains intact, the immediate outlook suggests a healthy market correction before resuming upward momentum. Those who have followed these warnings have successfully avoided recent volatility. Stay informed, manage risk effectively, and prepare for potential opportunities ahead.
Will BTC bounce back stronger after this correction? Share your thoughts below! 👇🔥
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #TradingStrategy2025 #MarketAnalysis

$XRP
Ripple, the driving force behind XRP and the XRP Ledger (XRPL), is set to unlock 1 billion XRP on Saturday, February 1, 2025. Based on current market prices, this release is valued at approximately $3.10 billion. While a portion of these tokens is expected to be sold throughout the month, a significant amount will likely be returned to escrow, continuing Ripple’s controlled distribution strategy.
📌 Understanding Ripple’s Escrow Mechanism
Since its inception in 2012, Ripple retained 80 billion XRP, gradually distributing portions to support market liquidity and fund its ecosystem growth. To enhance transparency and predictability, an escrow system was introduced in 2017, locking 55 billion XRP with scheduled monthly releases.
This mechanism remains in place today, ensuring systematic token distribution while preventing sudden market flooding. Typically, Ripple sells around 20% of the unlocked supply to cover operational expenses and strategic initiatives, while the remaining tokens are locked back into new escrows for future releases.
📊 Market Impact – Should Investors Be Concerned?
While large token unlocks can sometimes trigger short-term volatility, Ripple’s predictable distribution model minimizes excessive selling pressure. Additionally, institutional adoption and increasing XRP utility continue to provide strong market support, reducing the impact of these scheduled releases.
Traders and investors will be watching closely to see how the market reacts post-unlock. If buying pressure remains strong and demand outweighs supply, XRP could maintain stability or even gain momentum. Conversely, if selling activity increases, a short-term dip could present buying opportunities for long-term holders.
🚀 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for XRP?
Ripple’s structured token release approach ensures a gradual supply introduction, preventing excessive market disruptions. While some traders may view the unlock as a potential sell signal, others may see it as a routine event with limited long-term impact.
📌 Will this unlock influence XRP’s price movement, or will the market absorb it smoothly? Share your thoughts below! 👇🚀
#XRP

#Ripple #CryptoMarket #BlockchainInnovation #CryptoNewss 🔥

$SOL $BTC $ETH
The cryptocurrency market has dramatically expanded over the years, leading to significant dilution of capital across an overwhelming number of tokens.
2013-2014: ~500 tokens
2017-2018: ~3,000 tokens
2021: Between 300,000 and 3 million tokens
2025 Projection: 36.4 million tokens, with expectations to surpass 100 million in the near future
With the ability to launch a token as easily as clicking a button, the market has become flooded with projects, many of which lack utility or long-term vision. This oversaturation has made it increasingly difficult for quality projects to gain traction, delaying true altseason cycles that historically led to massive gains.
📉 The Challenges of a Saturated Market
🔹 Exchanges Prioritizing Meme Tokens – Many major exchanges list hype-driven meme coins to boost trading volume and attract retail investors. However, these tokens often experience extreme volatility, leading to 80%+ price drops within days, leaving retail traders disillusioned and exiting the market.
🔹 The Real Beneficiaries – In this model, the primary winners are:
✅ Token Developers – Many create speculative assets with no real value.
✅ Insiders – Early investors capitalize before retail participants enter.
✅ Exchanges – Generate revenue through trading fees, regardless of whether users profit or lose.
🔹 Retail Traders at a Disadvantage – On-chain data consistently shows that only a small percentage of traders actually profit from these speculative tokens, while the majority suffer losses due to hype-driven cycles with no fundamental backing.
🔍 The Path to a Meaningful Altseason
For a true altseason to emerge, the market needs to prioritize quality over quantity. Projects with strong fundamentals, real-world use cases, and sustainable growth models should be at the forefront, rather than short-term speculation.
Until this shift occurs, altseasons will remain unpredictable and unsustainable, as capital is continuously spread thin across an ever-expanding list of tokens. The real winners will be those who focus on projects with long-term potential rather than chasing the latest meme-driven frenzy.
🔔 Final Thoughts: While the market evolves, staying informed, cautious, and selective is crucial. Always do your own research before investing in any token.
#CryptoTrends #Altseason #BlockchainInnovation #CryptoMarket #Web3