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Trump is preparing for losing the election!
#BabyMarvin合约尾号f9c According to CNN, Trump is preparing for losing the election.
This statement may have “ambiguity,” and it does not mean that Trump thinks he will lose; rather, it indicates he is preparing to “not accept the loss” if he loses.
Reports indicate that Trump is reusing his strategy from 2020, baselessly claiming that the 2024 election is being “stolen.” Trump repeatedly claims that the Democrats are cheating in the election, and he exaggerates some sporadic voting issues that occurred on Election Day to make his supporters mistakenly believe that if he loses, the election is not legitimate.
Pennsylvania may become a key state that decides the outcome of the 2024 campaign, as it has become the epicenter of legal battles over voting rules and the spread of misinformation. Trump has claimed that his opponents are cheating in the state, and these accusations have appeared on his social media and at campaign rallies. At a rally in Allentown, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday, Trump claimed that the discovery of hundreds of suspected fraudulent voter registration applications in Lancaster County is evidence of cheating.
In simple terms, if he wins, it’s fine; if he loses the election, he might say Harris cheated — this is a situation that the financial market needs to consider.
According to the voting results we initiated today, as many as 62% of investors believe Trump will win, while 38% believe Harris will win — this indicates that most investors are unprepared for the possibility of Trump losing.
If Trump wins, the market will quickly respond with a “Trump market” (note, it is not a “Trump trade”), which reflects the market’s reaction to the economic environment during Trump’s presidency (rather than specific event-driven factors).
If Trump loses, it is highly likely that he will not accept the election results, leading to increased market volatility. After the last election day, due to the prolonged uncertainty of results, the stock market experienced heightened volatility, the dollar weakened, gold rose, and U.S. Treasury yields fell. But this time, the market’s performance will not be the same.
In the coming days, there will be significant activity. What impact will the U.S. election have on China? How much of a blow will it bring to the global market? Will there be a significant downturn? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments section below 👇👇