Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating every since the Double All Time High (ATH) formation of December and January. As we've pointed out in previous analyses, this is similar to the December 2023 - January 2024 consolidation.
What we haven't seen before and we bring it forward to you today, is that the January 2025 Low was priced exactly on the Higher Highs trend-line that emerged from the November 2021 and April 2021 Highs, i.e. the previous Cycle's tops!
To make things more interesting, we can see an identical Higher Highs trend-line that held the January 2024 Low (of the similar consolidation phase we discuss above) with an identical 1W RSI sequence as well. That was what initiated the February - March 2024 rally.
Assuming the current Low holds, BTC should kick start any time now the new 2025 Bullish Leg, which technically eyes the Higher Highs trend-line of the current Bull Cycle (dotted line). Even if it starts as early as this week, it should target at least $125000.
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If you've been wondering why *Bitcoin (BTC)* is surging lately, here’s a big reason: *MicroStrategy*, the business intelligence firm, just made a *huge purchase* of *7,633 BTC* for a staggering *742 million*! 🤯

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*The MicroStrategy Effect on Bitcoin* 🔥

MicroStrategy’s latest purchase has pushed its total Bitcoin holdings to *478,740 BTC*. That’s *a lot of Bitcoin*! 💰 As a result, we’ve seen Bitcoin's price surge, with BTC trading around *97,000* today. The recent buy has also triggered some *bullish sentiment* in the market, with *BTCUSD* showing positive intraday movement. 📈

MicroStrategy’s CEO, *Michael Saylor*, has been a major Bitcoin advocate for years. The company has consistently added more Bitcoin to its balance sheet, and their continued investments in BTC act as a *strong signal* for other institutional investors to take action.

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*Why Is Bitcoin Going Up?* 🤔

1. *Institutional Support*:
MicroStrategy’s massive purchase is just one example of *institutional adoption* that has been fueling Bitcoin’s rise. When big companies buy up Bitcoin in *bulk*, it’s seen as *validation* of its value. The more institutions buy, the higher the price can go due to *limited supply*. ⛓️

2. *Scarcity of Bitcoin*:
There’s only *21 million Bitcoin* ever to exist, and the more people (and companies) that buy it, the harder it becomes to get your hands on it. This drives up the price. 🔒

3. *Market Sentiment*:
When a respected firm like MicroStrategy adds more Bitcoin to its holdings, it creates *positive market sentiment*. This often leads to *increased buying pressure* from retail and institutional investors alike. 📊

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*Prediction and Analysis 📉📈*

*Bitcoin's Current Price*:
Bitcoin is currently trading around *97,000*, and many analysts are predicting that it could *push higher* in the short term, potentially breaking through *100,000* in the coming weeks if this bullish trend continues. 💥

*Support Levels*:
- *90,000* is now seen as a strong *support level*, and as long as Bitcoin stays above this level, the *bullish trend* could remain intact.
- *95,000* is the *next resistance point*, so expect some fluctuations around this price.

*Long-term Predictions*:
With institutional players like *MicroStrategy* leading the way, there’s a strong chance that Bitcoin will continue to see *upward momentum* throughout 2025. If Bitcoin’s adoption as a *store of value* grows, we might even see it approach new *all-time highs* in the future. 🌕

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*Conclusion*
In short, *MicroStrategy’s massive Bitcoin buy* has been a major catalyst in Bitcoin's recent *price surge*. If the firm continues adding more BTC and more institutions follow suit, we could see *Bitcoin's price climb higher* in the short and long term. But remember, as with any investment, there are always risks involved—so be sure to monitor the market closely! 📊

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*Stay smart, trade wisely, and always keep an eye on the market! 💡*

$BTC
$PEPE

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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the second time in 6 days and is reacting on a bullish note early today following basically 4 straight flat 1D candles.
We mentioned the importance of the 1D MA100 as a Bull Cycle demand level on previous analyses. What we didn't discuss though is how BTC behaved the last time we had a 1D MA100 double test on such short time-frame.
As you can see, the last time Bitcoin had a 1D MA100 Double Test within a 1-week time-frame was on October 10 2024 and the one before that on May 08 2024. The common characteristics of both those fractals was that the 1D RSI held the 43.00 level (just like it's doing today) and the price rebounded to hit the respective Resistance Zone from the previous High. Channel Up patterns emerged on both occasions, the difference is that in May 2024 BTC got rejected on the Resistance Zone, while on October 2024 it broke to the upside aggressively following the U.S. elections.
As a result, we can target at least $108k on the short-term. Since long-term Accumulation Phases like March - October 2024 only take place two times at most during each Cycle (and we've already had this twice already), we give more probabilities to an extended rally like November - December to a new All Time High. Long-term traders may seek to sell these positions when the 1D RSI approaches the 85.00 profit taking level (overbought).
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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been practically consolidating for more than 2 months (since November 22 2024) within a Rectangle pattern and what's more striking is the amazing symmetry it has been displaying.
Right now the price has broken above a Lower Highs trend-line following the February 03 2025 Low near the Rectangle's Bottom and every time it has done so within this pattern, a rally towards the Higher Highs trend-line started.
It is interesting to mention that so far the range from the first High to the last High of this trend-line has been 101 4H candles (roughly 25 days). Since on the new (blue) phase that started on the February 03 High, we had our first, we can expect it to conclude near the top of the Rectangle by February 26.
This technical symmetry can help us set our next short-term Targets. Target 1 is at $102500, just below Symmetrical Resistance Zone 1 and Target 2 is at $108000, just below Symmetrical Resistance Zone 2 (top of the Rectangle as mentioned). Needless to say, the current 4H RSI pattern resembles the bullish break-outs above both of the previous first Lower Highs fractals.
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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) marginally breached its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) two days ago and immediately rebounded in a mirror price action like last year's bounce of January 23 2024. We analyzed this on our previous publication but what we bring you today is the amazing RSI based symmetry of the two fractals.
The dominant long-term pattern remains a Channel Up and this is what will most likely guide BTC to the finish line and the Top of this Cycle. This pattern displays two (blue) Accumulation Channels, which is the formation we're currently at.
In fact Bitcoin has most likely started the process of breaking above this Channel as the January 23 2024 1D MA100 bounce was the starting point of the Bullish Leg (green) that made a Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up.
As mentioned, what's incredibly interesting is the 1D RSI symmetry between the two Accumulation Channels. As you can see on the current Accumulation Channel, the time between the 2nd RSI Lower High (blue circle) and 3rd (yellow circle) was 25 days and between the 3rd and 4th (red circle) was 32 days. The respective ranges on the previous Accumulation Channel were 25 and 34 days, which showcase a striking degree of symmetry.
The Bullish Leg peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension from the last High (red circle) and as a result, we can expect the new rally to follow an equally symmetric/ proportional rise and target the new 2.168 Fib at $145000.
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