20u起家日记

#20u起家日记
3.2 160 days
Capital 205u Principal 100u at the beginning of March

Yesterday I did a swarms, after finishing I turned off my phone 📴, then just held onto it, the next day I saw it drop more than twenty points, earned over 100u, now after finishing bome, I turned off my phone to sleep

Dropped, goodbye 👋

#20u起家日记
3.1 159 days
Capital 300u

Start of February Settlement:
Initial capital: 450u, end of month capital 300u, capital has decreased net by 150u compared to last month.

Win Rate: Made eighty-five trades, profitable on 35 trades, win rate 40%, win rate has decreased by 30% compared to last month.

Conclusion: Ended hastily with grass stop loss 🔚

Outlook: Starting March with 100u, while keeping two reserves of 100u as backup capital, starting now with no restrictions, no goals set, allowing freedom in trading, let's see what situation we can reach by the end of March.

Note: Signal calls are only personal trade records, please follow your trading system to see if the indicators resonate, proceed with caution, wish you well.

Friends, did your capital increase or decrease in February?

#20u起家日记
2.28 158 days
Capital 350u

Recently, I suspect my luck has been too bad. Yesterday, I sold the options I earned for over 10u. Originally, I could have made 100u on each option today; I bought two and could have earned around 200u. I'm quite frustrated. The day before yesterday, when ETH dropped by 400 points, I closed my position after dropping 100 points. Next time, I'll close one position in the evening and wait until the next day to close the second!!!

If you buy, you will find that the cost-performance ratio of this option is quite good; 5u can turn into 100u without blowing up. It’s not difficult; anyway, next time I will buy ETH put options aggressively; ETH will teach you how to drop quickly 😂

Today, I set up an ARC, and after buying in, I made a five-point gain in thirty minutes. I got a bit greedy and after a while, it kept dropping. It just bounced back, so I hurried to sell. Next time, if I make a five-point gain at the start, I’ll quickly exit because of the spike; anyway, once there’s a spike, it tends to go down. One can easily fall into the classic 15-minute double bottom mentality; you need to have a mental expectation.

Actually, there’s one more thing to say: don’t trade BTC and ETH right now. Purely from a risk-reward perspective, it’s very poor. You need to set a very large stop-loss, and the price is currently fluctuating too much, so it’s unnecessary to trade.

Downloaded. Goodbye 👋👋👋

#20u起家日记
2.27 157 days
Funds 310u

Yesterday, fart lost 50u, chillfuy lost 20u, options lost 10u.

Start steady, feeling restless. Today I made a chillguy, the stop loss was off by 0.003. Still, let’s take it steady. My basic ability to analyze the market is still there, can’t get too excited now.

Last night I randomly made a fartcoin and it surged, I shorted it hard, and Bitcoin also surged without paying attention to its trend.
fet also exited early and made a point.

Still going with what I did before, today I backtested everything and summarized it, now calming down, starting over.

Alright, goodbye👋👋

#20u起家日记
2.26 156 days
Funds 400.4u

Very good, now my trading win-loss ratio has reached an impressive one hundred to one, I can earn 0.4u on a winning trade, and lose over 40u when it goes against me.

From now on, I will share the trades I open every day, so that I can notice improvements a bit faster, rather than just working on it alone. Recently, my win rate is fifty percent, so I personally consider it a risk; everyone should make their own judgment. I just feel that by sharing, I can quickly understand my shortcomings and improve.

Review of the act's trades: ① The reason was a double top on the four-hour chart and divergence on the 30-minute chart.
② The risk was a false divergence on the 15-minute chart, which was followed by a true divergence spike.
③ The risk of shorting is still significant; however, going long at the bottom of 0.18 presents much less risk.
④ However, if I had calculated it correctly from the beginning, I should have held on because I had foreseen the risk. Once I opened a trade, I should follow the trading plan, or take profit after gaining two points. The result turned into earning 0.4u and leaving, which shows severe emotional trading. Next time I open a trade, I’ll just turn off my phone.

Logging off, goodbye 👋

#20u起家日记
2.25 155 days
Fund 415u

Can't hold the profit, hold the loss. ദ്ദി˶•̀֊•́)✧

I made a short position of BTC95800 yesterday, but I didn't dare to hold it after a short position, and I ran away after making 500 points.

It's a pity for ETH put options. I was going to make 2,300u, but I closed it too early. I closed it at 2650. If I hold on for another hour to 2500, I can make 300u more. Options are still awesome, so I bought 5u, and the profit and loss ratio can reach 1 to 50.

Then I didn't hold the other two, so I made up my mind to hold them, and then opened an auction short position, and the consequence of holding it was that it rose vigorously, and I lost another five points. I was speechless.

I recently studied this option again. Last time I held the option, I earned 30u but it turned into 0u. This time I didn’t hold it, and I earned 300u but it turned into 30u. Should I hold it next time or not? This is a question.

The profit and loss ratio of this ETH put option to 2000 is 1 to 1500, and each is 0.2u. If you buy a 0.2u put option to 2000 every day, then it is estimated that if it falls to 2000 one day in a year, you will earn 300u. It makes sense. Who can try it?

#20u起家日记
2.24 154 days
Funds 400u

It broke, I've become the king of retail investors.

I woke up this morning and found a good order for shorting, entered at 12.9, with a stop loss at 13.1, just two points, and aimed for a take profit at 11.8. But after a while, I got scared and sold. Made ten u.

I realized I only make 10 u when I profit, but lose 40 u when I lose. The coins are getting fewer and fewer.

I opened the options and saw that the ETH put option I bought yesterday at 2725 only made 1 u. By this afternoon at four o'clock, it had only dropped to 2723, and then it plummeted at four fifteen. It’s frustrating; if it had dropped another twenty points, I could have made 30 u on ETH.

Previously, I had eight consecutive losses in options. I realized I couldn't even reach the options expiry time. Last time, before the big drop, it turned into a profit of 30 u overnight. Last time, if I had exited one position, I could have broken even. All the options I bought had a risk-reward ratio of 1 to 10, around 3 u each, and I lost 3 u when I lost. I need to study this more, buying two more. Losing ten in a row is just bad luck, alright? Next time, I’ll exit early. I bought all put options for ETH. You can try it out, buy those with a risk-reward ratio of 1 to 10, 3 u each. My buying logic is that ETH is at a high with a pin bar divergence, so I buy for the next day expecting ETH to drop near 150 points. But I can only say I'm always just a bit off; maybe I should buy for the third day...

Why did ETH not drop yesterday, and why did it plummet today? My explanation is that no break means no establishment; no pin means no short. If you look at the four-hour chart, it previously touched 2845 twice and dropped down, then reached around 2810 on Sunday, and hasn’t been able to drop since. What does this mean? It means no break, no establishment; it will definitely test the upside. If it doesn’t test, there won’t be a big drop, so it will move sideways at a high level, forming a small double top with a V reversal. Finally, after the pin is established, a lot of take profits will occur, and that’s when it starts to plummet.

So if you short near 2810, you should exit after a while; you need to understand why it can’t drop. It still needs an upward pin. If it drops a bit, it forms a four-hour big double top and then starts to come down. This is its biggest pain point.

By the way, BTC’s four-hour and daily moving averages are dense, plus ETH is pushing up, with ETH’s four-hour pin reaching the recent top. If you actually look at the weekly BTC chart, a small double top with a V reversal appears at a high level along with a downward pin. I believe it will choose to reverse downward, and there will likely be a sharp drop soon. This is just my personal speculation as the king of retail investors.

#20u起家日记
2.22 152 days
Funds 380u

Recently feeling a bit out of it, I made a mistake when opening positions; I accidentally opened a short instead of a long without realizing it. The long and short buttons are really too close together, and I didn't notice when I pressed one. After opening, I took a nap and saw the price had increased so much that I thought I was going to make a killing, but it turned out I lost again.

I need to stay calm; it feels like continuous losses are getting to me, and I’m just about to run away with nothing left. I will take a day off tomorrow to reflect on life.

It seems that trading Binance's tokens to go long is better; sometimes, there are major news events that lead to a surge.

There was also a theft incident on Bybit; it feels like it hasn't ended yet, and there will be a further drop. However, these past two days are the weekend, so I am currently in a state of indecision between long and short.

There’s also a Grass token; I can't even complain anymore. How can this token rise so much? Yesterday, after a quick drop, it surged back up by twenty points instantly. I don't even know what the good news is; could it be that mining Grass is profitable? Looks like I need to start mining too 😆.

In a market of big ups and downs, if you can quickly switch between long and short and have a good market sense, you should see decent returns, just don't hold your positions too long. If you do, you’ll end up being trapped.

Going to sleep, hope for better luck next week.

#20u起家日记
2.21 151 days
Funds 460u

What's going on? Why has it been rising these two days? It's making me numb😂. I found that no currency has fallen, it will only pull back a little and continue to pull up. My scalp is numb when I'm shorting.

I ran to play with the IP, and I almost got scrapped. 🈳 I found that it has been rising. I wanted to continue shorting last night. 🤔 I thought about it and found that there was no pin. No pin means it will continue to rise. If it doesn't break, it won't stand. Then I guessed where it would go, but I couldn't guess, so I didn't go to bed. The next day I woke up and found that the pin was 9. Fortunately, I didn't do it. This kind of pin that only takes one second, stop loss is useless, and it will directly break the position and explode.

At present, new coins are not fun. When the market opens, a large number of people short sell, and the price will fall. However, after the recent opening of these new coins, many people short sell. The difference between the spot and contract prices is very large, which leads to the bottom pull-up and forced short selling. The high negative funding rate is used to force the air force to surrender. It is better to wait until the heat dissipates.

Bitcoin and Ethereum also exploded today, but they reached a pressure point. The eight-hour level is all green. It should be adjusted a little today. It is hard to say. The recent trend is not very good. If it is bearish, he will rise vigorously, and if it is bullish, he will chatter.
No more watching, sleep😪

Down, bye👋

#20u起家日记
2.20 150 days
Funds 580u

Today I did a grass short and a tao short, but I couldn't get any of them to go short. I'm so drunk. The market rose slowly during the day without a pullback, so I guess there will be a pullback at night. In the past, it fell during the day and the US stock market opened up at night. The rules of things change so fast that I can't react.

The options also returned to zero. Fortunately, I only bought 10u. I will continue to buy short options at the next high. If I don't win once in ten times, I can't play anymore.

It's night, and the volatility will become larger. It's still the rampant Wall Street.

Okay, get off the plane.

#20u起家日记
2.19 Day 149
Funds 640u, 450u at the beginning of the month

The market is sluggish. Yesterday, Bitcoin fell to more than 93,000, but it is not considered to be the bottom in the near future, because no pin was seen. If it is not seen, it will fall again. There may be a rebound, but it is not the lowest point. Click on the one-hour and four-hour BTC charts. Every time relative to the lowest point, there will be a "no break, no establishment" pin, so it may fall in the near future.

I bought another ETH option with a call price of 2575 at 4 pm tomorrow. I think it should be established. It is not a big problem for the downward trend to fall by 150 points. I made a long order in the morning, ate a little and left. There was no rebound strength.

There may be a big negative news on Friday. I don’t know what the Japanese CPI data is. It is estimated that it is not a good thing. The recent rebound is mainly high.

If you go long, the embarrassing point is that you can't find any target. According to the previous four-hour bottom divergence strategy, 30 signals are bounced each time, because all altcoins are at a relatively "low point", but there is only a lower point, not a lowest point. So it is difficult for me to go long on which token, there is nothing particularly strong. Grass has been strong for a long time recently, and I estimate that it will fall. It is not easy to do long or short now, unlike Bitcoin.

Keep waiting, wait until Bitcoin appears "no break, no stand" pin, then go long, otherwise go after the rebound, don't hold it for a long time, it may drop to 90,000 in the near future.

It's down, bye👋👋👋

#20u起家日记
Day 82 12.13
Funds 140u

I caught a cold and got sick today. I've been feeling out of sorts these past few days, not in the right state of mind, and I made some confusing trades. Last night I was recklessly rolling my positions; while others were increasing their positions in profit, I was increasing my losing positions and almost got liquidated. The prices kept dropping, and my position was raising my entry price higher and higher, from 0.63 to 0.73. Then I looked and saw I was about to be liquidated at 0.7. My head is messed up.

I woke up this morning and it was okay; it rose a bit, so I sold it off. Couldn't roll my positions any further; I almost got killed.

It's frustrating, can't make any profit. Always on the verge of liquidation, it's just not interesting to watch anymore.

I'm about to faint, going to sleep now. You all handle your own positions; I won't track them for too long. Might drop on Monday, remember to clear out all long positions around Monday.

Below is that chart from Coinbase, feel free to research it yourself.

Alright, I'm out. 🔚

#20u起家日记
Day 74 12.5
About 150u of capital

I looked at it and found that the pressure level of the grass trend is too high. It feels like every small previous high is a pressure level. It has been moving for a long time without moving. Now it is evening. If you want to exit early, you can leave first and just stop profit directly.

There is nothing else. The recent ups and downs are too fast. I feel that my strategy is not suitable for this market. A slower one is better.

End. I can do it myself. Stop profit is also OK. As for the pattern, I don’t know what will happen tomorrow.

#20u起家日记
12.18 Day 87

Today’s live stream was okay, we talked a bit, the next live stream will be on Thursday night, expected to discuss spot layout.
On the night of the 19th at 3 AM, the Federal Reserve will hold a rate cut meeting, expecting significant market volatility, be cautious of risks. Recently, don’t overthink it, just grab a few points and run.

Done, here’s a post.👋 Goodbye

#20u起家日记
The 21st day

I came here in a hurry, I am a bit busy today.
Let’s get down to business

Today’s strategy: short Luna around $LUNA 0.48, look down to 0.4
Reason Luna is rubbish, only 0.44xl during the Mid-Autumn Festival, short it when it goes up.

#20u起家日记
Day 16

I am guilty
I apologize to everyone first. I issued an announcement asking everyone to buy uxlink, but it crashed as soon as it went online. I am very sorry to everyone.

Analysis of the reason: When I saw that uxlink was going to be listed on the Korean exchange, I was so excited that I thought that it would be a big positive line when it was listed on the exchange before, such as bigtime and ckb, and then I didn't think about it. Although I saw the top divergence, I felt that the news could make it go up.

As soon as I saw the news, I also recharged 500 yuan and clicked a 50x leverage. As a result, it was blown up in a few minutes. Thinking about it afterwards, it was really wrong. I was so excited that I went straight to the full leverage and cheated my fans. I also lost 500 yuan. I made 0.5u a day and lost 500 yuan. My fans also lost money. I am very sorry to everyone.

I will reflect on myself in the future and not get carried away. Opportunities are always there, but I must not go all in. I am also a newbie, so I will learn slowly and slowly. Please read my articles rationally. Some people say that you can buy the opposite way. I recommend it every day. If you can make money by buying the opposite way, it is also good.
Every failure makes you wiser. Life goes on day by day. Keep working hard. There is no hurdle that cannot be overcome.

#20u起家日记
Day 12
Today's funds are 5u, +3u compared to yesterday

Hi everyone, didn't you have 2u left yesterday? I played around and turned it into 0.5u. ​​My mentality exploded at that time. I could only invest in $reef, and I couldn't open too much because I had too little funds. I could only open a little and run. Then I got 5u. I feel like I will become a 1u war god in the future. 🤪

Today's recommendation: $reef, I especially recommend this reef, which only has contracts but no spot. Today's increase reached 30 points. And I saw that the maximum callback is 5%. After observing these days, this coin can only be long, not short. Basically, if you go long, you will follow the dealer to make money. Of course, I am not asking you to go long now. It is too high now. Wait for it to callback. When the callback and consolidation are almost done, you can enter the market and go long. The leverage is small, 10 times to 15 times is the most. It is easy to get liquidated if you raise the leverage. You can try it tomorrow, it is estimated to rise to 0.006

#20u起家日记
Day 90 of 13.20
Funds 90u

In the afternoon, I thought the decline had stopped and opened a long position on Sui, but I still got stopped out, and then it surged up. Now I'm watching if Bitcoin can stabilize at the four-hour level, and if it can rebound over the weekend. At that time, I'll call out some trades to help my brothers recover their losses.

When BTC rises, everything will get moving.

#20u起家日记
The 27th day 10.5

Still can't be too big. Yesterday, the non-agricultural data was positive. My return rate went from 1700% to 1000%. Later, I took out the recent profit of 3,500 yuan. There is still some left. Now I play slowly every day.

There is no market these two weekends. It is not easy to make orders on weekends. They are all spontaneous fluctuations. It is easy to make orders when the US stock market opens normally.

There is no strategy today. I will sort out my short positions a little bit in the past two days. I will review and operate by myself.