👀Next week's market outlook: Trump's tariff policy and Fed dynamics may become the main focus of the investment market

Next week, global investors will face a week full of uncertainty and key economic data. The Trump administration's tariff policy will continue to be the focus of market attention, and its impact on the market cannot be ignored. At the same time, the upcoming US inflation data and speeches by Fed officials will be key factors affecting expectations of interest rate cuts.

In the coming week, the market will pay close attention to the following important events:

· Monday: ECB President Lagarde will participate in the debate on the 2023 annual report.

· Tuesday: The New York Fed will release annual inflation expectations; Cleveland Fed President Hammack discusses the economic outlook; Fed Chairman Powell presents monetary policy at a Senate hearing.

· Wednesday: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech; the United States will release January CPI and core CPI data; Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony to the House Financial Services Committee.

· Thursday: 2027 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on economic outlook; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending February 8; U.S. PPI annual and monthly rates in January.

· Friday: U.S. retail sales monthly rate in January; U.S. industrial output monthly rate in January.

Several Wall Street analysts warned that due to seasonal factors, forecasting CPI data in January is usually more challenging, which may increase market volatility when the data is released.

According to the Cleveland Fed's inflation Nowcasting indicator, the overall CPI is expected to grow by 2.85% year-on-year in January, and the core CPI is expected to grow by 3.13% year-on-year, only slightly slower than the previous month. These data may strengthen the market's expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates stable at the March meeting.

In summary, next week's economic data and official speeches will provide investors with important market guidance, especially in the context of increasing global economic uncertainty. Investors need to remain vigilant and pay close attention to relevant market developments.

💬Finally, what impact do you think these factors will have on the direction of the cryptocurrency market? Leave your insights and predictions in the comments section!

#市场前瞻 #特朗普关税 #美联储降息 #经济数据

Brothers, tonight we continue to welcome economic data 📊, 🧐#经济数据

The economic data to be released in the evening is here! #5月非农数据即将公布 #经济数据

"Really, stop working so hard, and look at the data first."

The latest unemployment data in the United States is out! Today, everyone in the market is watching the number of first-time applicants for benefits. If the number is higher than 215,000, Wall Street brothers will breathe more smoothly and feel that it is good; but if it is lower than 215,000, it will be bad news for the market recently - the job market is still too hot, inflation suppression has become a joke, and the Fed will cut interest rates? Don't even think about it.

The result? The data is directly lower than expected! It is slightly bearish for the market. But don't worry, take a look at the ADP employment report on September 15, which is a positive. These two numbers together, the market output is just a tie.

Simply put, this round of heart-pounding economic data is: employment is dovish (slightly), interest rates are hawkish (slightly), and nothing happens in the end (market: Oh).

Since the market is so dull, I, Kay, will go out directly, and the "middle-aged loser" can also fight! I have already pressed all my positions, and the short-term rebound target price is +5%. Those who understand should get on board in advance, and those who don't... please give life some hope.

Target | $BTC $ETH
Hashtags | #经济数据 #加密市场 #BTC重回10万 #SOLV开盘 #莱特币ETF通过预期

A list of important economic data from today to August 2. Next week is the central bank's interest rate decision week, and all major central banks will announce their interest rate decisions! #比特币大会 #经济数据

All economic data, big and small, before the September interest rate decision are on the chart! #经济数据 #利率决议

🔥Pre-timeline warning for major events in the cryptocurrency field this week🔥

📈 The market has just experienced a big drop, and now it is a tense moment again. This week's US economic calendar is full, and we will usher in some major events that may shake the market!

📊 On Tuesday, the PPI report is coming, which is a weather vane for predicting inflation. On Wednesday, the CPI report will follow, giving us a more comprehensive picture of inflation. Analysts expect that the inflation rate may be the same as last month, but everything depends on what the data says.

🛍️ On Thursday, retail sales data will also be released, which will tell us whether consumer spending is still strong. If the data shows that inflationary pressures are easing, the Federal Reserve may slow down the pace of interest rate hikes, which may be good news for our cryptocurrency market!

🤔 Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, said that the July CPI report may further prove that inflation is stabilizing, even if inflation has not yet fully returned to the Fed's target level.

Michael Gapen, head of economics at Bank of America, also said that if the data (retail sales and inflation) are as expected, the market may lower expectations for a sharp rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

💡 So, here comes the question! How will the release of these economic data affect the cryptocurrency market this week? Which currency do you prefer? Is it Bitcoin, Ethereum, or some other dark horse?

👇 Tell me your thoughts in the comments section, let's predict the market trends this week and seize investment opportunities together!

#加密货币 #经济数据 #通胀报告 #美联储 #投资机会

$BTC
Buffett cashes out Bank of America again!

Berkshire Hathaway, owned by Buffett, reduced its holdings of Bank of America for three consecutive trading days on September 3, 4, and 5, 2024, worth about $760 million.
As early as mid-July, Buffett began to reduce his holdings by nearly $7 billion, and currently holds about $34.7 billion.

Berkshire's second quarter U.S. stock holdings report showed that the company directly cut its Apple position in half, from 790 million shares to 400 million shares, and as of the end of the quarter, the market value of its holdings was $84.2 billion.

And the cash was used to buy U.S. Treasury bonds. It can be seen that there is a serious lack of confidence in the recovery of the U.S. economy.

#美元指数 #经济数据

There are some economic data and events next week, and the date events are marked!
The events that need to be focused on are Canada's monetary minutes and Japan's interest rate decision and monetary policy press conference. The reason is that Canada released the wind of interest rate cuts last week, and Japan's verbal exchange rate intervention is also worth paying attention to (related to currency depreciation). These two events need to see what will be said at that time, what policies will be pushed back.
The economic data is PMI on Tuesday, PCE and personal spending on Thursday, PCE and personal spending on Friday, and the University of Michigan Consumer Index is also counted in personal spending.
Why should we pay attention to these data? Because the Federal Reserve has been blowing the wind since last week, the market has also lowered expectations for interest rate cuts, and many Federal Reserve officials have also mentioned that monetary policy will be determined based on future economic data.
Except for the relatively strong PMI on Tuesday, the other data are currently OK, and the probability of an upset is not very high.
The halving has passed, and the probability of violent wash-outs like before the halving should not be too high in the future. When there is no event stimulus in the currency circle itself, we should pay more attention to external events outside the currency circle. #比特币减半 #经济数据

Several important data will be released tonight, all of which are related to consumer spending, and the expected values ​​are also a little higher than the previous values. Among them, the annual rate of the PCE price index has remained at 2.8 since the beginning of the year, and fell to 2.6 in May/June, but the expectation this time is 2.7, which is not very ideal. (I won’t talk about the specific impact logic, there are too many words) In addition, the crude oil market has been making trouble recently. The situation in the Middle East is tense. A few days ago, there was a problem with the shipping oil tanker there. I forgot. There are also news that 80% of Libya’s oil production may be interrupted, and Iraq will reduce production. Anyway, there are many different opinions. In a word, there is no good news, because the above news combined is to push up oil prices. Although OPEC+ said that it will increase production from October, it is still uncertain! In addition, from a technical perspective, the 4H chart of crude oil has also stood on MA120. The trend is not weak, but it cannot be said to be strong. We should wait for further news to consolidate! Rising oil prices will drive up fuel costs and household energy costs, so it will also push up PCE. There are many cars in the United States, which is not a good thing for them! There is nothing to say about the big cake. The daily level has reached a life-and-death position. If this position cannot be maintained, the possibility of the second test of 5W will increase again. Yesterday, a blogger asked in the comment area what I thought. Actually, I wanted to say it directly, but I really dare not say it. After all, everything depends on the mood of the dog dealer. When I become the dealer, I will say it in a positive tone 😆
The above is purely personal fantasy and is not used as investment advice or basis for opening orders! #PCE数据 #经济数据 $BTC

Japan just announced no interest rate hike, and the USD/JPY is experiencing significant short-term volatility! To briefly share my personal view, Japan's decision not to raise interest rates might boost the US dollar index, which could put pressure on non-USD assets, including Bitcoin! This is because the US dollar is considered a risk-free asset, making it more attractive for capital inflows, that's the logic! Additionally, there are economic data releases tonight at 21:30. I'm mentioning tonight's data because yesterday Powell emphasized that future monetary policy will be based on economic data, so it's advisable to pay attention to it, it's not a hassle, #美联储放鹰 #经济数据

🌐 Key events not to be missed this week that could impact Bitcoin price action!

🚀This week's big news:

US economic data is coming soon, which could have a significant impact on Bitcoin prices. Crypto markets rose slightly over the weekend and continued to gain momentum in early Asian trading on Tuesday. If expectations of rate cuts heat up again, the market could see a further boost.

📈Economic Events Quick Facts (October 7-11):

- Wednesday: The release of the September Fed minutes gives us a glimpse into how monetary officials view the economy.

- Thursday: The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, one of the key measures of inflation, could directly affect the Fed's policy rate.

- Friday: The September Producer Price Index (PPI) report and the Consumer Confidence Index, which are important factors affecting the market.

🏦Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and BlackRock will also release corporate earnings this week, which could have an impact on market sentiment.

🌟As of yesterday, Bitcoin closed at around $63,000 on a weekly basis. Although it once fell below the 200-day moving average in the short term, the overall weekly trend remained stable, successfully achieving four consecutive weeks of gains.

Although the performance of Ethereum and other altcoin markets was mixed, they still showed a range of fluctuations on the daily chart as a whole, indicating that the market is looking for new breakthroughs.

🌐 On the other hand, from the perspective of geopolitical factors, especially the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East, it may have a negative impact on market recovery.

🧐 Conclusion:

This week's US economic data release, including core CPI, PPI and consumer confidence index, may affect Bitcoin prices. If inflationary pressures ease, it may increase expectations for interest rate cuts, which is good for risky assets such as Bitcoin.

At the same time, rising expectations for interest rate cuts may attract funds to flow into the cryptocurrency market and boost the market. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and other regions may also limit the upside. Investors need to pay attention to these factors and seize investment opportunities.

💬 Which economic event are you more concerned about this week? Why? How much do you think geopolitical factors will affect the cryptocurrency market? Will you consider adjusting your cryptocurrency portfolio this week?

#比特币价格 #加密货币市场 #经济数据

I followed Powell's speech in the early morning until the end. I can summarize it in one sentence: "The September rate cut can be put on the agenda, but it depends on the economic data before September." I just summarized the economic data of today and tomorrow. Small data affects big data, so I also added small data in it! The logic of mutual influence is attached. Please read it by yourself if you need it. In addition, some of my personal opinions, judging from the values ​​shown in the data, I can only say that the probability of bad news is not high. It is relatively stable. Of course, it is not ruled out that something will happen. After all, there was a fraud in the non-agricultural data this year. If you want to interpret it simply, just look at the non-agricultural data and the unemployment rate, and focus on the unemployment rate. Only an increase in the unemployment rate can actually promote a rate cut! {Because I prefer to combine multiple aspects to look at the general direction when trading, if you only do technical aspects, please ignore this short article. I am worried that it will affect your thinking}. I don’t know if it is useful to you, just take it as a fun read! #美联储何时降息？ #经济数据 $BTC $ETH

$BTC $ETH

Tonight at 20:30!

The US September CPI annual rate is revealed!

Expected 2.3%!

The market is waiting with bated breath!

Everyone, pay attention! Tonight at 20:30 Beijing time, the highly anticipated US September unadjusted CPI annual rate will be released!

Want to know how important this data is? It is an important indicator to measure the price level changes of US consumer goods and services, and directly affects the monetary policy and economic trends of the Federal Reserve!

The current market expectation is 2.3%, but what will the actual result be? Is it higher than expected, or lower than expected? This will have a significant impact on the market!

Let us look forward to this exciting moment together and witness the latest developments of the US economy together!

Follow me and share the latest high-quality market information with you every day, so that you can make a fortune without getting lost.

#美国CPI #经济数据 #市场动向 #热门话题 #山寨币热点

📅【Macro data forecast for next week】Non-farm week is coming, pay attention to these key indicators!
Monday 09:30 👉 China's official manufacturing PMI, a perspective on the vitality of the manufacturing industry.
Tuesday 01:00 🗣️ Fed Powell's speech to the National Association for Business Economics, a policy weathervane.
Tuesday 22:00 📊 US September ISM manufacturing PMI, a new observation on the health of the industry.
Wednesday 20:15 💼 US September ADP employment, a leading indicator of the employment market.
Thursday 20:30 🔍 US initial jobless claims for the week, instant feedback from the employment market.
Friday 20:30 🚀 US September seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls & unemployment rate, a double shot of the economic barometer!
#非农周 # #经济数据 # #加密市场反弹

📈 The US September non-farm payrolls report will be released tonight, and the market is holding its breath!

The US September non-farm payrolls report is about to be released, and the market expects the unemployment rate to remain at 4.2%, and the number of new jobs is expected to be 140,000.

At 20:30 Beijing time tonight, the US will release the September non-farm payrolls report. Economists generally predict that the unemployment rate will remain at 4.2%, and the number of new jobs is expected to reach 140,000. This report will reveal the latest developments in the US job market and is also an important reference for the Fed's subsequent policies.

It is worth noting that the previous "small non-farm" ADP employment has exceeded expectations, reaching 143,000, which may indicate that the non-farm payrolls data will also bring surprises. The market generally pays attention to this data because it is not only related to the health of the US economy, but also directly affects the Fed's interest rate cut path.

💼 Viewpoint:

If the non-farm data meets or exceeds expectations, this may further consolidate the Fed's expectations of interest rate cuts within the year. On the contrary, if the data is not as expected, the market may re-evaluate the Fed's policy direction and may even increase expectations for a larger interest rate cut.

In short, as a weathervane of the financial market, the non-farm payrolls report has an influence that cannot be underestimated. Let us wait and see how this report will shape the future direction of the market.

💬 How do you think tonight's non-farm data will affect the cryptocurrency market? In the current economic environment, what are your predictions for the Fed's next move? See you in the comments!

#美国非农就业报告 #美联储降息 #经济数据 #市场前瞻

Meituan, which owns half of the takeaway industry, lost 115.5 billion? Who are they fooling?☕

Are you wondering why American companies have such high profits, while Chinese companies, even if they are ten times the size of American companies, have very low profits or even lose money?

This is the industry practice.

1. The company's profits are distributed to the founders, and they need to pay 45% tax.

So how can we get all this money?

2. Loss is enough.

If I lose money, I don't have to pay taxes, right?

This part of the loss + the company's original profit can all be lost in the founder's wallet.

Those who have face may leave some soup for investors, and those who are shameless will even lose the money in the stock market into their own wallets.

This is how Haha played. When it was in trouble, the state injected capital many times and even became its largest shareholder.

What was the result? The old man controls a supplier upstream to sell raw materials at high prices, and controls a distributor downstream to buy products at low prices.

You said you have stocks and you want dividends?

Sorry, my company is so big that it doesn’t have any brick money.

I don’t even share the dividends of state-owned capital, so what dividends do you share?

So many times, you think this industry is good and this company has good development prospects, so you pay money to buy its stocks and help it raise funds.

Sorry, it has been losing money all its life, and it has been losing money to the point that you doubt your life.

You may think that even if he controls upstream and downstream companies, the profits of upstream and downstream companies should be taxed.

Sorry. Upstream and downstream companies are all abroad, and I have to pay "patent fees" and "consulting fees" for my raw materials.

Anyway, once it's all over, they will take the brick money, and if they don't have brick money, they will also "lose" it into their own wallet.

There is a family in A-share specializing in this kind of business. After a few years of losing money on a listed company, they will change their vests and continue to go public and "lose money".

#经济数据 #故事汇 #财经解读 $BTC $DOGS $PEPE

📉The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations; Powell's hawkish remarks lead to a market decline

In its latest interest rate decision, the Federal Reserve has cut rates by 25 basis points as expected, lowering the federal funds rate target range to 4.25%-4.5%, which aligns with basic market expectations. This is the third consecutive meeting where the Federal Reserve has announced a rate cut, bringing the total rate cut for the year to 100 basis points.

The Federal Reserve mentioned in its statement that recent economic data shows steady growth in economic activity, a easing labor market, rising unemployment rates but still at low levels, and inflation is close to the target but has slightly increased.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) aims for inflation to reach 2%, and to support these goals, the Committee will continue to reduce its balance sheet plan, which has received the support of most members, but Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack (a voting member of the FOMC in 2024) opposed, arguing that interest rates should be maintained at 4.5%-4.75%.

The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates that it expects to cut rates twice in 2025, down from four cuts projected in September, while inflation is expected to reach the 2% target level by 2027, delayed from the previously expected 2026.

This suggests that the Federal Reserve will reassess the magnitude and timing of future rate cuts and will carefully evaluate based on the latest data and changing outlooks and risks.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated in a press conference that the Federal Reserve is not permitted to hold Bitcoin and does not anticipate changes to relevant legal provisions. Following these remarks, the U.S. stock market immediately responded with a decline. By the close of the market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped by 2.58%, the Nasdaq had fallen by 3.56%, and the S&P 500 index decreased by 2.95%.

Additionally, the entire cryptocurrency market was also significantly affected, as data from Coinmarketcap showed that BTC had fallen by 5.71% and Ethereum by 7.27% over the past 24 hours.

This indicates that the market is sensitive to Powell's remarks, and investors are highly attentive to changes in the Federal Reserve's policies and regulatory stance.

#美联储降息 #经济数据 #鲍威尔 #美股下跌 #市场影响