#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 The sharp drop on August 5 was actually a sharp correction on the eve of the bull market, aimed at washing out two types of participants: high-leverage bulls and shaken retail investors, forcing them to release their chips. In the following days, the main funds absorbed a lot of chips, billions of funds poured into BTC, and real money and silver cast the bottom.

The positive effects of the interest rate cut turned into nothing in an instant, and there is no need to over-explain. The market reaction lags behind the policy adjustment and needs time to brew. Before the dust settles on the election, the true face of the market is difficult to discern. Wait for the opportunity to show the true direction of the market.
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#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 From the long-term perspective of spot, this round of halving cycle overlaps with the previous round, indicating that the peak of the bull market may come again in November next year. The strategy of altcoins needs to be adjusted. Given that their life cycle is often shorter than BTC's 4-6 months, such as the precedents of spicy strips, ETC, DOGE, and FIL, it is recommended to withdraw before March next year. After the expansion of funds, regardless of spot contracts, altcoins should be operated in the short and medium term, avoiding blind long-term holding to avoid shrinking profits or missing the opportunity to exit. It is ultimately a subsidiary of BTC, and the high point should be realized in time.
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Revealing the secrets of identifying true and false bottoms

During the long bear market, a sudden positive line often makes people mistakenly think that dawn is coming, but in fact it is mostly a trap. Those who are eager to buy the bottom are prone to "cut in half", and those who cover their positions will suffer more. So, how to identify the true bottom with wisdom and avoid the temptation of false bottoms?

1. Multiple trials show the true gold
The true bottom is not a one-day job, it needs to go through many trials. V-shaped reversals are mostly baits and lack a solid foundation. Double bottoms and triple bottoms show the true chapter. After the initial rebound, they may be suppressed again, or even set a new low. After repeated repetitions, the bottom is solid. The sudden V-reversal is mostly a trick by the main force to lure more.

2. Capital running water is quietly injected
Beside the true bottom, capital is surging undercurrents. Trading volume has awakened from extreme shrinkage, and the moderate increase in volume is accompanied by a slight increase in prices. Capital is quietly deployed, which is not achieved overnight. Continuous capital inflow is a precursor to reversal.

3. No feeling for good news, extreme pessimism turns around
On the eve of the real bottom, market sentiment fell to the freezing point. Good news fell like a stone in the sea, the market was unmoved, and even continued to fall. Bulls turned bearish, and the market was filled with despair. However, things will turn around when they reach their extremes. This extreme pessimism is the darkness before dawn, and the bottom is just around the corner.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 The current market sentiment is low, which aggravates the downward pressure on XRP, and the value may continue to fall. The Chaikin fund flow indicator (CMF) is negative, funds are withdrawing from XRP, market confidence is shaken, selling pressure is increasing, weakening its market performance, and the bearish trend is difficult to reverse. The MACD indicator converges, and the momentum of the rise is weakened, indicating that pessimism may continue. In summary, XRP is under pressure and there is no hope of rebound. If the market picks up, a rebound can be expected, reversing the current bearish expectations.
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#AVAX $AVAX AVAX today's market analysis:
1/2H bullish, 4H bearish, today's key price is 20.654. ​​
Downward support: 20.107, 19.956, 19.799, gradually considered.
Rebound potential: upper targets 20.945, 21.040, 21.142.
Long-term spot strategy: buy on dips, small declines and small gains, big declines and big gains. @Square-Creator-38f0acad4 who likes to hoard spot
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#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 The Fall of Stars and the Standing of Giants

Looking back at the past bull market, star projects such as DOT, FIL, LUNA, APT, etc. were once glorious, but now most of them have fallen from the altar, or even returned to zero. In contrast, Ethereum, with its huge scale and solid position, has not increased as much as some altcoins, but its long-term returns are stable, and it can carry large funds without fear of fluctuations. Capital allocation wisely focuses on Bitcoin and Ethereum as the core, supplemented by selected altcoins to diversify risks and capture potential. The altcoin point needs to be analyzed @Square-Creator-38f0acad4

The competition in the public chain field is fierce. Ethereum has not suppressed its opponents, but has stimulated innovation with its open ecology and promoted the prosperity of the industry. The market is not a zero-sum game. "One whale falling" is not a necessity for "all things to grow", but a way of symbiosis and prosperity. Technological innovation and public participation are the basis for the continued prosperity of the crypto market. #新币挖矿TON #美国7月PPI低于预期 #WBTC #TON

#杰克逊霍尔年会 Reshape the value of data and lead the new trend in the currency circle

CARV unlocks multiple benefits for users with its ingenious protocol. First of all, data sovereignty and privacy protection are its cornerstones. Users have full control over their personal data, which is safe and worry-free, and bid farewell to the haze of data abuse in the Web2 era, enhance trust, and clarify data usage rights.

Secondly, CARV has created a new era of "Date to Earn". Data is an asset. Users can accumulate data wealth by participating in ecological activities, realize economic realization, and broaden income channels.

Furthermore, the modular design gives CARV unlimited possibilities, flexibly adapts to all walks of life, provides personalized services, and meets diverse needs. The ecosystem is prosperous, and games, AI and other fields are flourishing. Users enjoy rich applications, and data generation and realization are at their fingertips.

Finally, CARV keeps up with the pace of global supervision to ensure that the platform is compliant and trustworthy, creating a safe participation environment for users.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 BTC early trading strategy and RSR potential analysis

If BTC shows an upward trend in the early trading, it is recommended to reduce positions at highs and wait for the callback to be clear before making arrangements. I will continue to monitor market dynamics and update entry points in a timely manner. Although RARE has been missed, the potential of RSR cannot be underestimated, and it may become the next doubling currency. The current 4-hour chart shows that RSR is in the early stage of accelerating its rise, and there is a wide space above, which deserves close attention.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 BTC and ETH joined hands to pull up, and then entered the callback stage. The magnitude of ETH's correction is limited, showing its strong resilience; although BTC's correction is significant, the overall pattern has not changed, and the market outlook is still positive. It is worth noting that ETH performed significantly better than BTC today, continuing yesterday's upward trend led by Jin Chanzi, while BTC showed slight weakness.

On the other hand, Jinchanzi did not show a strong rise today. Instead, it turned into a volatile downward channel after rising at night, and the market sentiment became cautious. Looking forward to next week, the intensive news may inject new vitality into the market. Investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and respond flexibly.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 Altcoin differentiation and outlook

Since the low point on August 5, the performance of altcoins has been clearly differentiated, with strong currencies rising by more than 60%, while weak currencies have not risen by this line. The current market indicates that the subsequent market may weaken.

Traditionally, the cycle from bear market to bull market is about 50 to 60 days, often accompanied by a three-stage correction, and the correction range is mostly half of the previous increase. It is worth noting that the performance of each currency in this process is different. For example, LQTY’s second exploration accurately pulled back to half of the increase, while COMBO did not follow this rule. The same is true for the third exploration stage. Although it is generally expected to pull back to half of the increase, it is necessary to be cautious in actual operation to avoid full warehouse intervention.
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Bitcoin market stabilizes, may rebound after short-term correction

Today (August 16), the Bitcoin market showed some signs of stabilization after a waterfall-like decline in the early hours of yesterday morning. According to market data, the price of Bitcoin has fallen back to the range of US$56,000-57,000, which is consistent with the target area predicted yesterday. This correction process is in line with our previous technical analysis expectations, showing that the market's short-term adjustment pressure has been released.

From a technical point of view, Bitcoin's correction structure has been basically completed, which provides a good entry opportunity for subsequent low-point longs. Investors should pay close attention to market trends and look for suitable low points for layout to seize potential rebounds. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to changes in market sentiment and macroeconomic factors that may affect Bitcoin prices. $BTC $RARE $SYN #新币挖矿TON

#INJ $INJ INJ Today's Market Analysis:
Short-side dominance: 1H and 4H short positions are clear, and 2H shows a purple warning signal.
Key price: Keep an eye on 18.139, short-term rebound targets are 18.663, 19.250, and 19.433, and continue to short if not broken.
Lower support: 17.607, 17.261, and 17.066 form a solid defense line.
Spot strategy: Ignore short-term fluctuations, be firm in your belief, and the future of spot is promising. If you like to hoard spot contracts, Junyang is a treasure pot. You can find this 👉@Square-Creator-38f0acad4
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 If Harris enters the White House, the crypto landscape may usher in an opportunity to reshape. Crypto regulation is becoming stricter in the Biden era, but Harris, with her deep ties to the technology industry, may enter the crypto field with an open attitude. Although her position is unclear, it arouses imagination. The election is coming, and the two parties are competing for votes in the crypto community. The policy direction may be subtly adjusted. Harris's position as vice president and his political background have laid the groundwork for the inheritance and innovation of crypto policies. The industry is also unwilling to be lonely and actively mediates in the political circle, such as secretly communicating with the Harris team to plan for the future. Although this cross-border interaction is accompanied by uncertainty, it indicates that the crypto industry has many paths ahead, opportunities and challenges coexist, and the future is promising.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 Virtual asset money laundering is criminalized, and supervision upgrades warn of transaction risks

Lawyer Shao Shiwei deeply analyzed the latest judicial interpretation and clearly pointed out that virtual asset transactions have been officially included in the category of money laundering crimes. In the future, if virtual currency transactions involve stolen money, its nature will determine the crime: if it comes from the seven upstream crimes listed in the crime of money laundering, it will constitute the crime of money laundering; otherwise, it will be the crime of concealing and concealing the proceeds of crime. It is worth noting that after the implementation of the "Interpretation", such acts will face more severe statutory penalties for money laundering. This move marks that my country's legal regulations in the fight against money laundering have been further tightened, and virtual currency transactions have officially entered the era of strong supervision.

Lawyer Liu Yang further emphasized that this judicial interpretation introduced the concept of "virtual assets" for the first time and clearly mentioned it in the crime of money laundering, highlighting the law's emphasis on crimes in the emerging financial field. Previously, virtual currency transactions have been included in the judicial interpretation of illegal fundraising as one of the means of illegally absorbing public deposits, and now it is directly related to money laundering crimes, once again ringing the alarm bell for market participants.

In summary, the release of the "Interpretation" is not only a strengthening of the crackdown on money laundering crimes, but also a severe test of compliance in the field of virtual currency transactions.
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From the perspective of currency circle experts: cautious bearish outlook, September is shrouded in gloom
Continuously releasing pessimistic signals, holding a comprehensive bearish attitude towards the market in September. Technically, Bitcoin (BTC) is deeply trapped in a daily level downward trend, short-term moving averages continue to suppress, and all key time frames are unfavorable. The capital side is also not optimistic. ETF giants such as BlackRock rarely sell, and funds are in a risk-averse mood. More importantly, the expectation of a rate cut in September has fermented ahead of time, and the market may have reacted in advance, and funds may withdraw in advance.
At the same time, market news is frequent: Telegram founder was released on bail, Nvidia's financial report was released, OpenSea received a regulatory warning, Ethereum Foundation dynamics, new currency DOGS mining, etc., although each has its own highlights, it is difficult to reverse the overall pessimistic expectations under the current macro background. Spot contract Junyang 👉38897601993
In terms of specific currency performance, BTC, ETH, and BNB all showed a downward trend, with declines of 2.7%, 3.31%, and 3.73% respectively, which shows the low market sentiment. In summary, investors need to remain cautious, pay close attention to market dynamics, and adjust strategies in a timely manner.

Ethereum plummets, Sun Yuchen's holdings become the focus

Ethereum has recently plummeted by more than 20%, leading the decline in the cryptocurrency market and causing market panic. As an investor who has increased his holdings of ETH in a high-profile manner, Sun Yuchen is facing huge losses. His holdings are huge, and if his positions are liquidated, it will hit the market hard. Sun Yuchen's assets are not operating well, especially Huobi Exchange is sluggish, and the financial pressure is huge, which may prompt him to seek quick returns by staking ETH. The market is worried about the source of his funds and may misappropriate user funds. Once ETH falls again, the risk of capital chain rupture will increase, and HTX Exchange may not escape the bad luck. The copycat point @Square-Creator-38f0acad4 needs to be analyzed. The current market environment is complex, ETH is facing multiple negative factors, and the future trend is full of uncertainty. Super whales may be paying close attention to Sun Yuchen's positions. Whether Ethereum can reverse the decline remains to be seen.
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#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 is expected to break through 100,000 US dollars

It is predicted that Bitcoin will hit the 100,000 US dollar mark in 2025, and the current bull market is expected to continue until 2025 or even 2026. Bull market characteristics: sector rotation, callback wash, rebound in despair, and gradually eliminate the weak. Need to analyze the copycat point @Square-Creator-38f0acad4 cryptocurrency profit method: cognition, patience, faith, restraint of greed, supplemented by luck. Although getting rich quickly is tempting, it is scarce. The biggest gainers in the bull market are about 10%. This round of bull market is long-lasting, attributed to the entry of institutions and governments, the increase in external market influence, the increase in institutional operation weight, the intensification of big data monitoring, and the intensification of challenges for ordinary investors. However, confidence is gold, follow the trend, and steady growth can be expected. Cryptocurrency is increasingly integrated into the mainstream, funds are pouring in, and the long-term value of the industry is rising. #新币挖矿TON #美国7月PPI低于预期 #WBTC #TON

#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 It is easy to sell under pressure, and the mentality of getting rich quickly often leads to losses

Those who sell are mostly under great pressure, leveraged loans are overwhelming, and they can't bear the market storms. Money doesn't come in a hurry, this is true. Full warehouse leverage of 100 times, eager for quick success, and finally lead to a deep loss. Although the altcoin occasionally explodes, the surge in two or three months is tempting, but the good times are not long, and then the decline continues. Institutions quietly sell, investors need to be cautious.
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#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 The currency circle is shocked! Coinglass data shows that the amount of long orders liquidated is as high as 21.35 million US dollars. The market volatility has escalated, and the bull-bear battle is in full swing. This round of liquidation warns investors: market sentiment changes rapidly, and leveraged trading hides huge risks. It is recommended to strictly control positions, operate cautiously, and set stop losses reasonably to avoid risks. The current market turmoil is the time to review positions and adjust strategies. Follow Lao Lin, understand the market situation, seize opportunities after the storm, and jointly seek a steady way forward!
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Why do many people still not accept virtual currency?

Whether it is Bitcoin, Tesla, Moutai, Tencent and other stocks, or real estate. Any opportunity that may make ordinary people financially free will have more negative voices.

The reason is simple. For any opportunity that can make money, there must be only a few people who can seize the opportunity. And those who can't seize the opportunity are more willing to accept the placebo-like idea that "this is not an opportunity but a trap" than to admit that their incompetence has led to the missed opportunity. The thinking mode that most people are willing to accept is: "This matter itself is immoral, I don't participate because of my high moral standards." Or "People who participate are idiots, these are all scammers who will collapse sooner or later, and I am smarter to do nothing than others who are busy."

And people have a characteristic called self-perception reinforcement. That is, my thoughts will influence my behavior, and my behavior will further strengthen my thoughts. This characteristic also has a more well-known name "reverse rationalization."

People's placebo-like thoughts will influence their own behavior and keep themselves away from industries where they have not seized opportunities. And the behavior of staying away from these will further strengthen their negative thoughts about these opportunities.

Whether it is "Musk is a liar, real estate is all bubbles, or Bitcoin is tulips, Tencent is only a worthless company that can only copy, and rich people all get started by shady means", these kind of repetitive remarks are all to comfort their own psychology of stepping into the air, and then further reverse rationalization.
People are stubborn, and in order to consolidate their own ideas, they will refuse to accept any information that contradicts their own ideas and refuse to learn anything new. Many middle-aged people often say "I am too old to learn", but the next sentence is "But my experience tells me that you are wrong."
People are fragile. They cannot accept that they will make mistakes. They are more willing to believe that it is the world that is wrong.

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