#AVAX $AVAX AVAX today's market analysis:
1/2H bullish, 4H bearish, today's key price is 20.654. ​​
Downward support: 20.107, 19.956, 19.799, gradually considered.
Rebound potential: upper targets 20.945, 21.040, 21.142.
Long-term spot strategy: buy on dips, small declines and small gains, big declines and big gains. @Square-Creator-38f0acad4 who likes to hoard spot
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Revealing the secrets of identifying true and false bottoms

During the long bear market, a sudden positive line often makes people mistakenly think that dawn is coming, but in fact it is mostly a trap. Those who are eager to buy the bottom are prone to "cut in half", and those who cover their positions will suffer more. So, how to identify the true bottom with wisdom and avoid the temptation of false bottoms?

1. Multiple trials show the true gold
The true bottom is not a one-day job, it needs to go through many trials. V-shaped reversals are mostly baits and lack a solid foundation. Double bottoms and triple bottoms show the true chapter. After the initial rebound, they may be suppressed again, or even set a new low. After repeated repetitions, the bottom is solid. The sudden V-reversal is mostly a trick by the main force to lure more.

2. Capital running water is quietly injected
Beside the true bottom, capital is surging undercurrents. Trading volume has awakened from extreme shrinkage, and the moderate increase in volume is accompanied by a slight increase in prices. Capital is quietly deployed, which is not achieved overnight. Continuous capital inflow is a precursor to reversal.

3. No feeling for good news, extreme pessimism turns around
On the eve of the real bottom, market sentiment fell to the freezing point. Good news fell like a stone in the sea, the market was unmoved, and even continued to fall. Bulls turned bearish, and the market was filled with despair. However, things will turn around when they reach their extremes. This extreme pessimism is the darkness before dawn, and the bottom is just around the corner.
@Square-Creator-38f0acad4 who likes to hoard spot goods
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 Reshape the value of data and lead the new trend in the currency circle

CARV unlocks multiple benefits for users with its ingenious protocol. First of all, data sovereignty and privacy protection are its cornerstones. Users have full control over their personal data, which is safe and worry-free, and bid farewell to the haze of data abuse in the Web2 era, enhance trust, and clarify data usage rights.

Secondly, CARV has created a new era of "Date to Earn". Data is an asset. Users can accumulate data wealth by participating in ecological activities, realize economic realization, and broaden income channels.

Furthermore, the modular design gives CARV unlimited possibilities, flexibly adapts to all walks of life, provides personalized services, and meets diverse needs. The ecosystem is prosperous, and games, AI and other fields are flourishing. Users enjoy rich applications, and data generation and realization are at their fingertips.

Finally, CARV keeps up with the pace of global supervision to ensure that the platform is compliant and trustworthy, creating a safe participation environment for users.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 BTC early trading strategy and RSR potential analysis

If BTC shows an upward trend in the early trading, it is recommended to reduce positions at highs and wait for the callback to be clear before making arrangements. I will continue to monitor market dynamics and update entry points in a timely manner. Although RARE has been missed, the potential of RSR cannot be underestimated, and it may become the next doubling currency. The current 4-hour chart shows that RSR is in the early stage of accelerating its rise, and there is a wide space above, which deserves close attention.
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Bitcoin market stabilizes, may rebound after short-term correction

Today (August 16), the Bitcoin market showed some signs of stabilization after a waterfall-like decline in the early hours of yesterday morning. According to market data, the price of Bitcoin has fallen back to the range of US$56,000-57,000, which is consistent with the target area predicted yesterday. This correction process is in line with our previous technical analysis expectations, showing that the market's short-term adjustment pressure has been released.

From a technical point of view, Bitcoin's correction structure has been basically completed, which provides a good entry opportunity for subsequent low-point longs. Investors should pay close attention to market trends and look for suitable low points for layout to seize potential rebounds. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to changes in market sentiment and macroeconomic factors that may affect Bitcoin prices. $BTC $RARE $SYN #新币挖矿TON

#杰克逊霍尔年会 Altcoin differentiation and outlook

Since the low point on August 5, the performance of altcoins has been clearly differentiated, with strong currencies rising by more than 60%, while weak currencies have not risen by this line. The current market indicates that the subsequent market may weaken.

Traditionally, the cycle from bear market to bull market is about 50 to 60 days, often accompanied by a three-stage correction, and the correction range is mostly half of the previous increase. It is worth noting that the performance of each currency in this process is different. For example, LQTY’s second exploration accurately pulled back to half of the increase, while COMBO did not follow this rule. The same is true for the third exploration stage. Although it is generally expected to pull back to half of the increase, it is necessary to be cautious in actual operation to avoid full warehouse intervention.
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#INJ $INJ INJ Today's Market Analysis:
Short-side dominance: 1H and 4H short positions are clear, and 2H shows a purple warning signal.
Key price: Keep an eye on 18.139, short-term rebound targets are 18.663, 19.250, and 19.433, and continue to short if not broken.
Lower support: 17.607, 17.261, and 17.066 form a solid defense line.
Spot strategy: Ignore short-term fluctuations, be firm in your belief, and the future of spot is promising. If you like to hoard spot contracts, Junyang is a treasure pot. You can find this 👉@Square-Creator-38f0acad4
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 If Harris enters the White House, the crypto landscape may usher in an opportunity to reshape. Crypto regulation is becoming stricter in the Biden era, but Harris, with her deep ties to the technology industry, may enter the crypto field with an open attitude. Although her position is unclear, it arouses imagination. The election is coming, and the two parties are competing for votes in the crypto community. The policy direction may be subtly adjusted. Harris's position as vice president and his political background have laid the groundwork for the inheritance and innovation of crypto policies. The industry is also unwilling to be lonely and actively mediates in the political circle, such as secretly communicating with the Harris team to plan for the future. Although this cross-border interaction is accompanied by uncertainty, it indicates that the crypto industry has many paths ahead, opportunities and challenges coexist, and the future is promising.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 Virtual asset money laundering is criminalized, and supervision upgrades warn of transaction risks

Lawyer Shao Shiwei deeply analyzed the latest judicial interpretation and clearly pointed out that virtual asset transactions have been officially included in the category of money laundering crimes. In the future, if virtual currency transactions involve stolen money, its nature will determine the crime: if it comes from the seven upstream crimes listed in the crime of money laundering, it will constitute the crime of money laundering; otherwise, it will be the crime of concealing and concealing the proceeds of crime. It is worth noting that after the implementation of the "Interpretation", such acts will face more severe statutory penalties for money laundering. This move marks that my country's legal regulations in the fight against money laundering have been further tightened, and virtual currency transactions have officially entered the era of strong supervision.

Lawyer Liu Yang further emphasized that this judicial interpretation introduced the concept of "virtual assets" for the first time and clearly mentioned it in the crime of money laundering, highlighting the law's emphasis on crimes in the emerging financial field. Previously, virtual currency transactions have been included in the judicial interpretation of illegal fundraising as one of the means of illegally absorbing public deposits, and now it is directly related to money laundering crimes, once again ringing the alarm bell for market participants.

In summary, the release of the "Interpretation" is not only a strengthening of the crackdown on money laundering crimes, but also a severe test of compliance in the field of virtual currency transactions.
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From the perspective of currency circle experts: cautious bearish outlook, September is shrouded in gloom
Continuously releasing pessimistic signals, holding a comprehensive bearish attitude towards the market in September. Technically, Bitcoin (BTC) is deeply trapped in a daily level downward trend, short-term moving averages continue to suppress, and all key time frames are unfavorable. The capital side is also not optimistic. ETF giants such as BlackRock rarely sell, and funds are in a risk-averse mood. More importantly, the expectation of a rate cut in September has fermented ahead of time, and the market may have reacted in advance, and funds may withdraw in advance.
At the same time, market news is frequent: Telegram founder was released on bail, Nvidia's financial report was released, OpenSea received a regulatory warning, Ethereum Foundation dynamics, new currency DOGS mining, etc., although each has its own highlights, it is difficult to reverse the overall pessimistic expectations under the current macro background. Spot contract Junyang 👉38897601993
In terms of specific currency performance, BTC, ETH, and BNB all showed a downward trend, with declines of 2.7%, 3.31%, and 3.73% respectively, which shows the low market sentiment. In summary, investors need to remain cautious, pay close attention to market dynamics, and adjust strategies in a timely manner.

A new chapter in the crypto market: Helium and DOGS lead the innovation boom
In the wave of the crypto market, two hot projects, Helium and DOGS, are leading a new narrative chapter. The Carrier Offload Program launched by Helium has become the focus of the industry. The two major US telecom giants have joined hands with Helium to jointly reduce costs and expand network coverage, which not only brings benefits to operators, but also greatly promotes the traffic growth of the Helium network, motivates hotspot providers, and accelerates the destruction of HNT. In addition, Helium's IoT and energy sub-network expansion plans indicate the diversification and strong potential of its ecosystem.
At the same time, the DOGS token economics was released in a shocking manner. Of the total supply of 550 billion $DOGS, more than 80% will benefit the community, especially Telegram OG users will receive generous rewards, demonstrating the importance of community building. As a Meme project of the Ton ecosystem, DOGS not only carries the inheritance of community culture, but will also launch an on-chain emoticon sticker function to open a new era of digital creativity and transactions. Its team and the future + communication Junyang: 954737157's careful layout and the strengthening of liquidity support indicate the strong performance of DOGS in the market.
The current market trend shows that the real income track has become the mainstream, Ethereum and Solana public chain platforms continue to lead, and the Ton ecosystem features low-threshold games and high community participation, showing unique charm and vitality. The rise of Helium and DOGS has undoubtedly injected new vitality and imagination into the crypto market.
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Why do many people still not accept virtual currency?

Whether it is Bitcoin, Tesla, Moutai, Tencent and other stocks, or real estate. Any opportunity that may make ordinary people financially free will have more negative voices.

The reason is simple. For any opportunity that can make money, there must be only a few people who can seize the opportunity. And those who can't seize the opportunity are more willing to accept the placebo-like idea that "this is not an opportunity but a trap" than to admit that their incompetence has led to the missed opportunity. The thinking mode that most people are willing to accept is: "This matter itself is immoral, I don't participate because of my high moral standards." Or "People who participate are idiots, these are all scammers who will collapse sooner or later, and I am smarter to do nothing than others who are busy."

And people have a characteristic called self-perception reinforcement. That is, my thoughts will influence my behavior, and my behavior will further strengthen my thoughts. This characteristic also has a more well-known name "reverse rationalization."

People's placebo-like thoughts will influence their own behavior and keep themselves away from industries where they have not seized opportunities. And the behavior of staying away from these will further strengthen their negative thoughts about these opportunities.

Whether it is "Musk is a liar, real estate is all bubbles, or Bitcoin is tulips, Tencent is only a worthless company that can only copy, and rich people all get started by shady means", these kind of repetitive remarks are all to comfort their own psychology of stepping into the air, and then further reverse rationalization.
People are stubborn, and in order to consolidate their own ideas, they will refuse to accept any information that contradicts their own ideas and refuse to learn anything new. Many middle-aged people often say "I am too old to learn", but the next sentence is "But my experience tells me that you are wrong."
People are fragile. They cannot accept that they will make mistakes. They are more willing to believe that it is the world that is wrong.

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The choice between spot and contract

In the current market, the layout of spot is full of challenges, and the increase is unpredictable. It is mostly affected by the controlled currency. When the big cake leads the decline, the cottage has a rebound, but it quickly falls back, and the risk of being locked is high. How many KOLs can accurately layout high-increase spot is a mystery. It is necessary to analyze the cottage point @Square-Creator-38f0acad4 I am cautious about promoting spot recently, because the timing is difficult to grasp, the market activity is sluggish, the spot layout is silent, but the contract players are excited because of the large volatility. #TAO💰智能多空策略 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #新币挖矿TON #美国7月PPI低于预期

Will the rise and fall of the cryptocurrency circle really scare people to death?

Yes, take the most classic example of Luna. You have 10,000 Luna. When you went to bed yesterday, it was worth 1 million U. When you woke up, it became 700,000 U. You said that I have been in the cryptocurrency circle for so long, and it only retreated by 30%, and ust only decoupled by 10%. I believe in DoKwon, so I went to bed again with confidence.
The next day, I woke up and it became 10,000 U. At this time, you think that it has fallen by 99%, and it should have fallen to the bottom. I will buy it now and it will rise to 10U, which is ten times. So you sell your pot and get 200,000 U to buy 200,000 Luna. At this time, you can't sleep. You keep staring at it and hope it can go back up, but you can only watch the price go from 1 to 0.1 and then to 0.000001 and finally be delisted.
In the end, in three days, your 1.2 million U assets shrank to the money for a breakfast. You completely collapsed.
In addition to Luna, the cryptocurrency market is very different from the traditional financial market.
1. 24/7,
2. No price limits,
3. Very low entry threshold,
4. Many people abuse leverage,
5. The rise and fall of altcoins are endless.
Especially when the third, fourth and fifth points are combined, it is normal to get rich overnight and blow up overnight. Be careful with leverage, everyone. You think your five times leverage is already very low, but you don’t know that there are days every year when the fluctuation exceeds 20%. Because of leverage, the more it falls, the more it cannot stop, and finally leads to a series of blow-ups. Why can ETH reach more than 800 in this bear market? Isn’t it because the liquidation price on the chain is clear, and there is money to pick up cheap corpses?

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The cash flow pressure of mining companies continues to increase, and debt financing has become a new trend
As 13 U.S. listed mining companies disclosed their second-quarter financial reports, a clear signal emerged: Despite market fluctuations, mining companies' thirst for cash flow has not diminished. TheMinerMag analysis pointed out that the hash price after the Bitcoin halving failed to boost cash flow as expected, forcing many companies to restart debt financing.
Statistics show that in the second quarter alone, nine mining giants including Bitdeer and Bitfarms raised more than US$1.25 billion through stock issuance, and Iris Energy also raised US$458 million through market issuance. Since the halving, large mining companies have raised more than US$2.1 billion in equity financing, with an additional US$530 million in new capital added in the third quarter.
Notably, debt financing instruments such as convertible notes and asset-backed loans have heated up significantly in recent times. Hut 8 raised $150 million through Coatue notes, and Marathon and Core Scientific issued a combined $700 million in convertible notes to address market challenges. Core’s debt restructuring and Marathon’s Bitcoin holdings increase plan both demonstrate the industry’s urgent need for funding flexibility.
What’s even more remarkable is that CleanSpark reached a credit agreement with Coinbase using Bitcoin as collateral, and Canaan also promised 530 Bitcoins in exchange for a loan of US$19.2 million + Exchange Junyang: 954,737,157 yuan, highlighting the role of crypto assets in financing strategies. New roles.
Faced with the sluggish Bitcoin hash rate of $43/PH/s, this series of financing actions by mining companies has undoubtedly injected new vitality and thinking into the industry. At a time when challenges and opportunities coexist, how to efficiently manage funds and optimize operating strategies has become a topic that every mining company must face.
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#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 is expected to break through 100,000 US dollars

It is predicted that Bitcoin will hit the 100,000 US dollar mark in 2025, and the current bull market is expected to continue until 2025 or even 2026. Bull market characteristics: sector rotation, callback wash, rebound in despair, and gradually eliminate the weak. Need to analyze the copycat point @Square-Creator-38f0acad4 cryptocurrency profit method: cognition, patience, faith, restraint of greed, supplemented by luck. Although getting rich quickly is tempting, it is scarce. The biggest gainers in the bull market are about 10%. This round of bull market is long-lasting, attributed to the entry of institutions and governments, the increase in external market influence, the increase in institutional operation weight, the intensification of big data monitoring, and the intensification of challenges for ordinary investors. However, confidence is gold, follow the trend, and steady growth can be expected. Cryptocurrency is increasingly integrated into the mainstream, funds are pouring in, and the long-term value of the industry is rising. #新币挖矿TON #美国7月PPI低于预期 #WBTC #TON

#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 The currency circle is shocked! Coinglass data shows that the amount of long orders liquidated is as high as 21.35 million US dollars. The market volatility has escalated, and the bull-bear battle is in full swing. This round of liquidation warns investors: market sentiment changes rapidly, and leveraged trading hides huge risks. It is recommended to strictly control positions, operate cautiously, and set stop losses reasonably to avoid risks. The current market turmoil is the time to review positions and adjust strategies. Follow Lao Lin, understand the market situation, seize opportunities after the storm, and jointly seek a steady way forward!
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Ethereum plummets, Sun Yuchen's holdings become the focus

Ethereum has recently plummeted by more than 20%, leading the decline in the cryptocurrency market and causing market panic. As an investor who has increased his holdings of ETH in a high-profile manner, Sun Yuchen is facing huge losses. His holdings are huge, and if his positions are liquidated, it will hit the market hard. Sun Yuchen's assets are not operating well, especially Huobi Exchange is sluggish, and the financial pressure is huge, which may prompt him to seek quick returns by staking ETH. The market is worried about the source of his funds and may misappropriate user funds. Once ETH falls again, the risk of capital chain rupture will increase, and HTX Exchange may not escape the bad luck. The copycat point @Square-Creator-38f0acad4 needs to be analyzed. The current market environment is complex, ETH is facing multiple negative factors, and the future trend is full of uncertainty. Super whales may be paying close attention to Sun Yuchen's positions. Whether Ethereum can reverse the decline remains to be seen.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 The current market sentiment is low, which aggravates the downward pressure on XRP, and the value may continue to fall. The Chaikin fund flow indicator (CMF) is negative, funds are withdrawing from XRP, market confidence is shaken, selling pressure is increasing, weakening its market performance, and the bearish trend is difficult to reverse. The MACD indicator converges, and the momentum of the rise is weakened, indicating that pessimism may continue. In summary, XRP is under pressure and there is no hope of rebound. If the market picks up, a rebound can be expected, reversing the current bearish expectations.
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#杰克逊霍尔年会 BTC and ETH joined hands to pull up, and then entered the callback stage. The magnitude of ETH's correction is limited, showing its strong resilience; although BTC's correction is significant, the overall pattern has not changed, and the market outlook is still positive. It is worth noting that ETH performed significantly better than BTC today, continuing yesterday's upward trend led by Jin Chanzi, while BTC showed slight weakness.

On the other hand, Jinchanzi did not show a strong rise today. Instead, it turned into a volatile downward channel after rising at night, and the market sentiment became cautious. Looking forward to next week, the intensive news may inject new vitality into the market. Investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and respond flexibly.
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