币圈观察

[Analysis of two major operating windows from September to November]

📅 From mid-September to early November, the currency circle ushered in a critical period of two and a half months. Behind this is the subtle intertwining of the macro situation and the Fed's strategy.
📊 CPI data fell short of expectations, officially establishing the market framework. But this CPI is not that CPI. It is related to the Federal Reserve’s decision-making vane, not the price index in the traditional sense.
🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve, a normally neutral institution, has to take sides in a US election year. Market stability ahead of the election is crucial for Democrats. Therefore, the Federal Reserve chose to side with the Democratic Party by fine-tuning the data, releasing risks in advance, and cut interest rates in September to repair the market, which was stronger than expected.
📈 As an area with high risk appetite, the crypto market benefits from the stable expectations of the macro market and ushered in a window period for the influx of funds. Bitcoin and other mainstream currencies have recovered significantly, and various funds are waiting for opportunities.
🗳️ The Democratic Party plans to release an encryption platform before November, aiming to attack opponents and attract votes. This strategy not only affects the encryption market, but also adds more variables to the election.
💰 The climax of major asset classes is expected to arrive in mid-to-late October, earlier than the peak of market sentiment. We are currently in the middle of this window, smart funds have begun to deploy, and niche currencies such as Tugou are reappearing the wealth effect. However, it should be noted that the rotation is rapid and controlling the illusion of compound interest is the key.
🔍 Investors who do not pursue rotation can focus on large market capitalization products, which will also passively rotate up. The high point time is relatively clear, closely following the PVP time points of the Democratic and Republican parties.
🚨 After November, the risk increases. Details of the next large-level trend window will be announced at that time, so stay tuned.

To sum up, the most suitable one right now is the local dog on the public chain, then go to MEME, and then go to the market and copycats. Family, get ready to get started.

#币圈观察 # #美降息25个基点预期升温 # #大选影响 #

😂 The big whale is here again! 2 hours ago, this big guy transferred another 1,437 $BTC (about $96.58M) to #Binance. He currently holds a total of 7,499 $BTC, worth about $505.66M! 🐋💸

Address: 3G98jSULfhrES1J9HKfZdDjXx1sTNvHkhN

Looks like he is going to make waves? What do you think of the next market? 👀📈


#BTC☀ #比特币突破7万美元 #加密大户 #币圈观察 🐳🚀

During the bull market in 2017, I saw a coin on a certain platform soar from 0.5 to 10,000, which shocked me into quickly retreating. In just a few hours, the price dropped back to where it started. Someone took out a loan of over 1 million to buy it all, and ended up losing so much that they considered jumping off a building; it was tragic. So seeing the market celebrating today also makes me wary.

Recently, BTC has been fluctuating sideways while altcoins are soaring. Many people think this is a prelude to a bull market, but I say it's a warning sign of risk. Various good news is flying around, BlackRock, Grayscale, and even some political dynamics are being used to hype up BTC, creating a delusion of getting rich quickly for retail investors. The truth is, these are just the superficial things that the big players want you to see. Without solid good news, purely relying on emotional hype will only cause people to get hot-headed, go all-in easily, and then get harvested.

The MACD on the four-hour chart is about to golden cross, which may hint at a short-term rise, but the more this happens, the more cautious one should be. Tomorrow might be the last week of the hunting moment. Don't be blinded by soaring altcoins; the market is volatile, and remember to stay away from those 'demonic coins' that have been stagnant for a year.

Today, I was bitten by APE rising 130%, reminding me once again to respect the market. While retail investors are speculating on Bitcoin and mid-cap coins, our strategy should be to reduce positions in batches in risk zones to avoid bloody lessons from wild price fluctuations. The notion of BTC reaching 100,000 should be taken with a grain of salt; longevity is wealth.

Currently, I have fully invested at the current price taking advantage of the market panic, aiming to see BTC exceed 70,000, looking forward to $BTC $ETH $SOL . If you think what I said makes sense, please share your support, and let’s witness this journey together.

#币圈观察 #市场猎杀时刻 #ETHBTC汇率新低 #Tether否认调查和制裁 #年底牛还熊？