XRP’s price has surged over 300% in the past two months, reaching $2.10 on Dec. 27.
However, warning signs suggest that XRP/USD could face a short-term correction, potentially erasing at least 25% of its recent gains.
Descending Triangle Pattern Signals Potential Breakdown
XRP’s recent losses coincide with its price movement within a descending triangle pattern, a bearish structure that often predicts further declines.
This pattern is marked by lower highs forming a descending trendline, while $2.10 serves as horizontal support.
A breakdown below this support level could lead to a deeper correction, with the potential downside target calculated by subtracting the triangle’s height from the breakdown point.
Analysts predict XRP’s price could fall to approximately $1.64 in January 2025, representing a 25% drop from current levels.
Whale Activity Suggests Distribution Sentiment
On-chain data highlights bearish trends, with whale addresses showing signs of distribution.
The supply held by addresses with over 1 million XRP tokens has decreased by 180 million since early December.
Similarly, addresses holding 100,000 XRP have reduced their holdings by 170 million.
This reduction aligns with XRP’s 26% price decline from its local high of $2.90.
Large-scale selling by whales can increase token supply in circulation, exerting downward pressure on prices.
Rising Reserves on Binance Indicate Bearish Sentiment
XRP reserves on Binance, the largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, have steadily increased since mid-December.
This trend often signals bearish sentiment, as rising reserves typically precede price corrections.
Combined with the descending triangle pattern and on-chain whale activity, XRP may face challenges in sustaining its bullish momentum.
While the long-term outlook for XRP remains uncertain, traders should prepare for potential short-term volatility.