The duration of a bull run after a Bitcoin halving can vary based on historical data, but typically:
1. Historical Patterns: 📈
- 2012 Halving (1st halving): The bull market started approximately a year after the halving and lasted for about 12-13 months.
- 2016 Halving (2nd halving): The bull market began about 7-8 months after the halving and peaked around 18 months later.
- 2020 Halving (3rd halving): The bull market started roughly 6 months after the halving and lasted for about a year until the peak in November 2021.
2. Average Timing: ⏳
- The bull market tends to begin 6-12 months after the halving.
- Peaks usually occur 12-18 months post-halving, lasting around 400-500 days.
3. Factors Influencing Bull Runs: 🌐
- Supply Reduction: Halvings reduce Bitcoin’s block rewards by half, creating a scarcity effect.
- Market Sentiment: Speculative interest and media attention can amplify post-halving price action.
- Macroeconomic Environment: Global financial trends and regulations can accelerate or delay bull runs.
4. 2024 Halving (4th Halving): 🚀🚀🚀
- The 4th Bitcoin halved on April 2024. Now historical trends repeating:
- Bull run has started late 2024. 🎯
- The peak could occur around mid-to-late 2025. 🚀
Key Takeaway: 🗒️
The typical bull run after a halving can last 12-18 months with substantial price growth observed after the initial 6-month adjustment period.
