Tony Severino, a recognized Chartered Market Technician, has highlighted a compelling technical setup within the XRP price chart, suggesting that the cryptocurrency may be on the verge of a significant rally.
He asserts that this potential uptrend could drive XRP’s price to an ambitious $20 target, offering substantial returns for current holders if the pattern plays out as expected.
Severino’s analysis is based on XRP’s adherence to the Elliott Wave structure, a well-regarded technical analysis theory. He suggested that XRP is gearing up to enter the Fifth Wave of the Elliott Wave cycle.
In Elliott Wave theory, the Fifth Wave often represents a strong upward push as market momentum peaks, indicating heightened buying interest and price acceleration.
In-Depth Analysis of XRP’s Elliott Wave Formation
The Elliott Wave structure presented by Severino illustrates how XRP has previously experienced large gains in past cycles, specifically during the first and third waves.
These two waves brought major price surges in 2014 and 2017, with the latter phase delivering a dramatic increase. During the 2017 rally, XRP’s price rose over 70,000%, underscoring the potential for rapid gains within these market cycles.
However, as with most wave patterns, these gains were followed by corrective phases. After the initial surges in 2014 and 2017, XRP entered two periods of decline: Wave 2 in 2016 and Wave 4, which began in 2024.
According to Severino, XRP now approaching the end of this fourth wave. Should the pattern hold, XRP may be preparing for a Fifth Wave breakout, an event that could result in substantial price gains and push the asset toward Severino’s $20 target.
With XRP trading at approximately $0.80, reaching $20 would mean a striking 2,400% gain for those holding XRP, a potential windfall for investors anticipating this upward movement.
Additional Bullish Indicators Supporting XRP’s Prospects
Severino’s bullish outlook isn’t based solely on the Elliott Wave structure; his analysis includes other significant technical indicators that point to an impending surge. One prominent signal is a symmetrical triangle pattern on XRP’s chart, often associated with consolidation phases that precede a breakout.
In this case, the triangle pattern shows an A-B-C-D-E formation, where each letter represents a point in the tightening range. This narrowing price range can often build pressure, which, when resolved, tends to lead to a notable price movement.
Adding strength to Severino’s argument, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching a key resistance level within a longstanding downtrend. RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps gauge overbought or oversold conditions, and when it breaks above certain resistance levels, it can signify a rise in buying momentum.
Severino notes that should XRP’s RSI break through this resistance, it could confirm an increase in buying interest, adding further weight to his $20 price prediction.
Market Sentiment and Outlook for XRP
Despite the technical indicators suggesting an upcoming rally, XRP’s recent performance has been underwhelming. In contrast to Bitcoin, which recently broke multiple all-time highs, XRP has largely traded sideways, frustrating some investors.
However, pro-XRP analysts emphasize that multiple metrics, including the Elliott Wave structure, symmetrical triangle, and RSI resistance align to suggest a significant move is on the horizon.
The XRP community is split, with some analysts, like Severino, optimistic about an imminent breakout. However, there are still skeptics who question whether this bullish setup will play out.
In response to Severino’s post, an X user, Wide Field, voiced a commonly held view among skeptics, noting that XRP has consistently failed to achieve substantial gains, despite ongoing optimistic predictions.
This convergence of technical indicators has led to cautious optimism among supporters, with many awaiting the confirmation of these signals before fully committing to the bullish narrative shared by Severino.
⚠️Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers with information. Always conduct independent research and use discretionary funds before investing. All buying, selling, and crypto asset investment activities are the responsibility of the reader.
