Historically, yes.

I think the logic behind it is that clearing the uncertainty of the election is bullish, and any bearish views on the elections are priced in beforehand.

With the overall market structure, cycle structure, and nature of the cycle, I think there’s a high probability of 100k BTC later in 2025, and I'm betting on this.

Could it be different this time? Yes, for sure. The short-term price action (next couple of weeks/months) could differ.

Protect yourself from this; if you have a htf view, target, or thesis, don't get yourself screwed up on the ltf price action and try to gamble on how things will happen exactly.

We could dip deeper, especially if Harris wins, so I've placed my bets earlier, at the htf range low rather than now, while prices are trying to break out in a volatile election period.

I simplified my bet to: I believe this 8-month range, is accumulation.

You want to either accumulate at the lows OR after acceptance above, which, even though we had signs of strength, has not happened yet.

Take it slow, have patience, zoom out, wait for weeks of panic, and stick to spot.

There's always time and a logical plan to get in—no need to rush