Shiba Inu (
$SHIB ), one of the most popular meme coins, is now making waves with its Shibarium Layer-2 network, set to launch SHIB token burns starting January 2024. This development could be a game-changer, but the burning question remains: Can SHIB hit $1? And how long would it take?
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Shibarium’s Role in Burning SHIB
According to the Shiba Inu team, Shibarium will burn SHIB tokens through transaction fees, with 70% of the fees going toward burns and the remaining 30% allocated to maintaining the network’s operations. Here’s how it works:
1. Transaction Fees in BONE: Shibarium collects fees in the governance token $BONE, used as gas for transactions.
2. Conversion to SHIB: Once these fees reach a threshold of $25,000, they are converted into SHIB.
3. Burn Mechanism: The converted SHIB is then permanently removed from circulation, reducing the token supply.
This process ensures a deflationary impact on SHIB’s massive circulating supply of 589 trillion tokens. However, how effective will this burn mechanism be?
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The Math Behind $1 SHIB
Let’s explore the timeline for Shiba Inu to hit $1 based on current burn rates:
Annual Burn Rate: Assuming Shibarium burns 3 trillion SHIB tokens annually, it would take 98 years to bring the supply down to a level where SHIB could reach $1.
A Faster Path: To achieve $1 within a realistic timeframe, Shibarium would need to burn 100 trillion SHIB tokens annually—a monumental task requiring a massive increase in adoption and transaction volume.
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Adoption Challenges and Market Realities
While Shibarium’s burn mechanism is a step forward, SHIB faces several challenges:
Oversupply vs. Demand: With 589 trillion tokens in circulation and just 1.3 million holders, demand hasn’t caught up with supply.
Adoption Lag: Broader adoption is critical, yet SHIB’s current market dynamics limit its price movement, causing stagnation or dips.
Community Engagement: Sustained enthusiasm and utility-driven use cases are essential to fuel growth and adoption.
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The Future of SHIB
Here’s what needs to happen for SHIB to have a shot at $1:
1. Accelerated Burns: Shibarium must scale up its burn rate significantly, potentially with over 100 trillion tokens burned yearly.
2. Increased Adoption: Wider adoption through innovative use cases, including DeFi, gaming, and payments, is crucial.
3. Demand Surge: Community-driven initiatives and increased utility could create a supply-demand equilibrium, boosting SHIB’s price.
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Bottom Line
While Shibarium’s launch is an exciting development, the dream of $1 SHIB remains a distant reality under current conditions. Without significant scaling in burn rates and adoption, it’s unlikely we’ll see Shiba Inu achieve this milestone in our lifetime.
However, Shiba Inu continues to evolve, and the community’s passion is undeniable. Who knows what the future holds? Stay tuned and keep an eye on Shibarium’s progress—this story is far from over.
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