According to data from the prediction market Polymarket, Donald Trump's chances of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election have increased to 51%, surpassing Vice President Kamala Harris, who stands at 48%. This update was reported by BlockBeats on October 6.

In a significant development, Trump returned to Butler, Pennsylvania, on October 5, where he held a "highly anticipated" campaign rally. Notably, Elon Musk was invited to attend the event and made a guest appearance on stage alongside Trump. This rally comes after a tumultuous period for Trump, particularly following an assassination attempt reported in the area in July of this year.

As the campaign continues to unfold, these shifting probabilities reflect the dynamic landscape of the 2024 election race.