Kamala Harris leads Trump by 1% on Polymarket

The Polymarket estimate shows that 75% of participants think Harris will win the popular vote and 24% think Trump will.

The advantage comes after Harris announced her campaign in July after Joe Biden withdrew.

This has helped her in prediction markets, particularly this summer.


Harris remains ahead, but Trump has regained momentum owing to his family's cryptocurrency firm, World Liberty Financial.

Trump Plays Crypto


Trump's blockchain and cryptocurrency position appeals to supporters.


At the Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville this summer, he pledged crypto-friendly policies.

Trump remarked, “We will have regulations, but from now on, the rules will be written by the people who love your industry, not hate your industry.”

At the launch of his family's crypto enterprise earlier this month, he pledged to remove SEC Chair Gary Gensler and criticize digital asset regulation.


“If bad, bad things happen and we don't win the election, those people that were under investigation and are free as a bird right now, people that were being looked at in the crypto world, they will be living in hell the day after the election if they win,” he said.

Kamala Harris Leads Prediction Markets


Harris, however, has increased her digital innovation backing. After months of quiet on cryptocurrencies, she is advocating for safer, more transparent business conditions that progress technology.

Harris stated last week in Pittsburgh, “We will encourage innovative technologies like AI and digital assets while protecting consumers and investors. We will build a safe business environment with clear rules.”


Harris and Trump are racing to the election, tackling important economic issues like blockchain and digital currency.

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