We look at the situation in the Middle East from a neutral perspective without any political bias. Due to the political sensitivity, we can only provide a brief analysis:
1. Israel's actions aim to demonstrate that they are not subordinate to the United States but rather allies with mutual interests. Israel currently seeks military assistance and security, and while whether to strike Gaza is not crucial, Israel's message to the world is clear: they will retaliate if provoked, which is a strategic move.
2. Hamas, Iran, and their proxies aim to establish Palestine through intimidation and become a strategic stronghold. However, achieving this through terrorism is unrealistic and can be seen as a conspiracy rather than a practical approach in the Middle East.
3. Other countries in the Middle East express frustration with the conflict but pursue their own interests, employing diplomacy, aid, and measures like reducing oil exports to dampen inflation and suppress conflict intensity, which also serves their strategic interests.
4. The United States seeks to control the Middle East and contain Iran and Russia, inevitably requiring concessions to Israel. With domestic support for Israel, the current low-intensity conflict meets US satisfaction.
5. Returning to the core issue of whether to strike Gaza: Apart from the Israeli Cabinet, no one would be pleased with such action. However, it's important to understand the firm stance of the Cabinet during wartime, and neither Hamas nor Iran will back down. Striking Gaza would break the status quo, likely driving oil prices to $100 and triggering a 30% correction in global risk assets, leading to significant economic ramifications with both winners and losers.
