Идеи и мнения Šīmtum (@Simtum)

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$BTC Bitcoin (BTC) Market Snapshot – April 21, 2025 Current Metrics Price: $87,400–$87,500 24H Performance: +3.28% (USD), +3.49% (INR ₹75,07,917.70) Market Cap: $1.74T | Supply: 19.85M BTC ATH: ~$109,356 (Jan 2025) — BTC is 19.7% below --- What’s Fueling the Rebound? 1. Technical Breakout Broke out of $83K–$86K range, reclaiming the 30-day EMA Golden cross (50D > 200D) at $85K on April 15 Targets: $90K–$92K, with minimal resistance below $90K 2. Macro Tailwinds USD Weakness: DXY at 98.182 as Fed Chair Powell’s position comes under political threat Safe-Haven Shift: BTC tracks gold’s surge to $3,385/oz, boosting hedge demand 3. Strengthening Network & Sentiment Active addresses up 10% in a week Hashrate hits record 400 EH/s Social mentions up 51K; 48.4% sentiment bullish --- Key Levels & Indicators Resistance: $88,804 (200D SMA), $94,000 (0.618 Fib) RSI: 68 (near overbought) | MACD: Bullish crossover --- Risks to Watch Thin liquidity may cause volatility Profit-taking expected near $90K U.S.-China trade war escalation could impact macro sentiment --- Institutional Flow Bitcoin ETFs posted $15M net inflow, signaling cautious optimism --- Outlook: Bitcoin’s structure remains bullish above $85K, with a likely push toward $90K–$92K. Continued alignment with gold and renewed network activity support the case for further upside.

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#USChinaTensions US-China Trade Tensions: Escalation & Global Fallout April 21, 2025 — The U.S.-China trade conflict has sharply escalated, triggering widespread concern over global economic stability. --- 1. Tariff War Intensifies U.S. Action: The Trump administration has imposed tariffs up to 245% on Chinese goods, including new 125% duties on fentanyl-related exports and national security-linked products. China’s Retaliation: In response, Beijing hit back with 125% tariffs on U.S. goods and restricted Hollywood releases. U.S. LNG and wheat exports to China dropped to zero in March. --- 2. Global Trade at Risk Trade Collapse: WTO estimates U.S.-China trade could plunge 80%, reducing global trade by 3% and GDP by up to 7%. Wider Impact: Global trade may shrink 0.2% this year—1.5% if hostilities grow. LDCs are especially vulnerable due to export reliance. UNCTAD cut 2025 global growth to 2.3%. --- 3. Diplomatic Tensions Rise China accuses the U.S. of “hegemonic politics,” urging resistance to unilateralism. Meanwhile, the U.S. is pressuring allies to reduce dependence on Chinese imports, offering selective tariff relief. --- 4. Markets React Gold Soars: Gold surged to $3,395/oz as investors flee to safety. Yuan Stability: China’s central bank held rates steady to defend the yuan. Q1 GDP grew 5.4%, but deflation looms. --- 5. Outlook A temporary U.S. tariff pause (until July) may allow talks, but risks of breakdown remain high. China’s upcoming economic data will be key. --- Conclusion What began as a trade dispute is now a geopolitical standoff, threatening global growth and reshaping markets. Without diplomatic breakthroughs, economic fragmentation and volatility will likely intensify.

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#BTCRebound Bitcoin (BTC) Surges Past $87K: What’s Fueling the Rebound? As of April 21, 2025, Bitcoin has jumped above $87,000, rebounding strongly from recent lows. Key drivers include a weakening U.S. dollar—linked to President Trump’s push to remove Fed Chair Powell—and rising demand for safe-haven assets. The dollar index dropped to 98.182, while gold hit a record $3,385/oz, suggesting investors are turning to BTC as a hedge. Technically, BTC broke out of a tight range ($83K–$86K), reclaiming its 30-day EMA. It now eyes $90K–$92K, with resistance at $88,804 (200-day SMA). A close above $88.8K could open the path to $94K. Institutional sentiment remains mixed: Bitcoin ETFs saw modest $15M inflows—cautious but a shift from outflows. Derivatives data shows declining open interest, but positive funding rates hint at growing bullish bias. Long-term holders are accumulating again, often a precursor to major rallies. However, risks remain—particularly if BTC drops below $85K or if political and global tensions escalate. BTC’s decoupling from equities and alignment with gold hint at its evolving role as a digital safe haven.

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#StopLossStrategies Stop-Loss Strategies (Quick Guide) A stop-loss is an order to sell a security at a set price to limit losses or protect gains. --- Key Stop-Loss Types 1. Fixed Stop Static level below entry (e.g., 10%). Simple but doesn’t adjust to volatility. 2. Trailing Stop Moves up as price rises (e.g., 10% below peak). Protects profits but can trigger on noise. 3. % Stop Set % drop from entry (e.g., 5%). Easy to apply but ignores volatility. 4. Volatility-Based Stop Uses ATR or similar indicators. Adaptive but needs technical skills. 5. Time-Based Stop Exit if no move in set time (e.g., 30 days). Avoids dead trades; may miss late moves. 6. Technical/Fundamental Stops Based on key levels or major news. Aligned with broader analysis. --- Best Practices Automate stops to avoid emotion Set stops where your trade idea fails Adjust for volatility Use partial exits Be aware of slippage in fast markets --- Pros & Cons Pros Limits losses Enforces discipline Automates risk control Cons Can trigger early Slippage in fast moves May ignore context --- Use Cases Day Traders: Tight % stops Swing Traders: ATR + chart levels Investors: Trailing stops to lock in gains --- Bottom Line: Stop-losses help protect capital—choose the right type based on your style, test it, and stay disciplined.

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$BTC Former President Donald Trump’s new tariff plans have sparked major market volatility, revealing a notable divergence between Bitcoin and traditional equities. Here's a streamlined breakdown of Bitcoin’s relative performance and what it means going forward. --- 1. Market Reaction Snapshot Stocks Tumble: U.S. markets saw a dramatic sell-off, with the S&P 500 losing $3.5 trillion on April 4 and $5 trillion across two days—the worst since March 2020. Tech stocks like Apple and Tesla led the drop. Bitcoin’s Dip and Recovery: Bitcoin surged to $88,000 before falling to $81,500–$82,000 post-announcement, but quickly rebounded to $84,720, outperforming equities during the crash. --- 2. Bitcoin’s Decoupling? Bitcoin declined just 3.7% versus stocks’ 10%, holding above key support and suggesting growing perception as a macro hedge. Unlike 2018’s trade war, Bitcoin didn’t move in lockstep with stocks—hinting at evolving investor confidence in its unique fundamentals. --- 3. Institutional Flows & Macro Forces ETF Inflows: Spot Bitcoin ETFs, especially BlackRock’s, saw $218 million in inflows amid the chaos. Fed Warning: Powell flagged tariffs as inflationary, potentially increasing Bitcoin’s appeal. Regulatory Overhang: Institutional growth is limited by unclear crypto regulation, keeping markets retail-heavy. --- 4. “Digital Gold” Narrative Strengthens Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called Bitcoin a growing “store of value.” While gold is up 15% YTD, Bitcoin’s rebound reinforces its role as a modern safe haven. --- 5. Looking Ahead Target Price: Analysts project Bitcoin could hit $132,000 by late 2025 if monetary easing and institutional interest continue. Risks: Ongoing trade tensions and market volatility could challenge Bitcoin’s resilience in the short term. Quick Takeaways Bitcoin held up better than stocks, fueling its hedge narrative. Institutional flows and inflation concerns are key bullish drivers. Long-term potential remains strong, but near-term risks persist.

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what you want to know about crypto?